Oracle Corporation (ORCL)
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-10-29
$139.56-3.45%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put ORCL beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Application Software is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Grow Cloud Revenue to $9.9B by Q4 FY26: Cloud revenue: $11.61B.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 58% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskOracle’s Cloud Infrastructure and Applications growth thesis depends on continued cloud expansion. Revenue growth accelerated to 30% in Q1 FY2027, and earnings beat. Oracle trades at 19× P/E versus the 31× peer median. Our expectations look modest relative to our forecast, despite the multiple discount. Debt-funded expansion and a projected fiscal 2027 free cash flow deficit threaten the case. The primary cloud-revenue pillar is under pressure against its $9.9 billion target. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 13%. Peer multiples imply a price about 13% above where it trades; the thesis is on watch, and this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. ORCL is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 44 analysts currently covering ORCL (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 11 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for ORCL in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORCL Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Application Software — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put ORCL next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Accelerate growth of Cloud Infrastructure and Cloud Applications
Analysts see a clearer path to cash flow, while noting execution risks.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $139.56
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $139.56.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Accelerate growth of Cloud Infrastructure and Cloud Applications
Frames Oracle's AI spending as earning investor confidence, supporting cloud-growth expectations.
Advances: Expand Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) backlog with large AI contracts
Expanded AI partnerships signal demand and support Oracle’s AI infrastructure and backlog objectives.
Advances: Expand Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) backlog with large AI contracts
OpenAI’s reported pursuit of Google chips after an Oracle deal highlights compute demand and partnership potential.
Advances: Expand Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) backlog with large AI contracts
Google TPUs joining a rival cloud through an Oracle deal could broaden compute offerings and support customer demand.
Threatens: Pursue strategic M&A and equity issuance to support growth
Analyst warning on funding needs raises a credible concern about financing AI growth and capital requirements.
Advances: Accelerate growth of Cloud Infrastructure and Cloud Applications
Adding Cerebras systems expands Oracle Cloud’s AI compute options and strengthens its infrastructure offering.
Advances: Pursue strategic M&A and equity issuance to support growth
A billion-dollar commitment to partner AI growth supports expansion, though its terms and funding warrant scrutiny.
