NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-07-31
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Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Application Software is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Achieve $90B Revenue in FY27: $90B FY27 rev guidance vs $90B target.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 17% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 42%, softest on free-cash-flow margins.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, margins, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 65% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskOracle's growth in cloud revenue is essential to justify its current price. The company recently reported a revenue increase of 21% year over year, and its latest earnings beat expectations. It trades at 17.5× P/E, which is below the 25× peer median, indicating that the price reflects less growth than forecasted. A specific risk is the pressure to grow cloud revenue to $9.9 billion by Q4 FY26, a metric that has not been reported. Peer multiples imply a price about 15% above where it trades. This read is provisional; the thesis is on watch due to the primary pillar under pressure.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. ORCL is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 44 analysts currently covering ORCL (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 18 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for ORCL in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Application Software — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Advances: Expand Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) backlog with large AI contracts
Strengthens AI contract strategy and growth narrative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $129.87
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $129.87.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Partnership suggests significant growth potential for Oracle.
Concerns over Ellison's media deal may affect shareholder returns.
Stock hitting a low raises concerns about investor confidence.
Rising yields may impact growth funding and investment.
Stock drop may affect shareholder returns and confidence.
Advances: Pursue strategic M&A and equity issuance to support growth
Major government win supports strategic M&A and growth objectives.
Threatens: Expand Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) backlog with large AI contracts
S&P identifies OpenAI as a key credit risk for Oracle.
