Reading VLTO? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track VLTO free→Reading VLTO? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track VLTO free→NYSEIndustrialsPollution & Treatment ControlsSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is strong. Earnings quality is fragile, meaning profits lack cash support. Management's recent track record has been steady. Risk is moderate, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, VLTO is above typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 21% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening. This is because VLTO is priced roughly in line with peers, but recent financials or earnings quality are weakening. If VLTO reverses and cuts guidance after recently raising, that could hurt credibility.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $83.98. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $83 VLTO trades at 21× p/e, below its 26× p/e peer median. Our $104 fair value sits above the price; high confidence. Analysts: $103–$113. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price sits about 21% below a flat-multiple fair value; not enough history to forecast a comparison. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated strong grew net income 69% of the time over the next year (vs 58% for the rest of the cohort, n=3696).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.14x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Industrials names rated fragile grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=3333).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $1.00 → $1.00 (+0.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 11 cut, 14 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 63% of analysts rate Buy.
1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$91.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$186.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $2,479.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: This is a key measure of Veralto's growth momentum. A miss could signal weaker demand.
Confirms:Core sales growth reported below 3.0% year-over-year for Q2 2026.
Disproves:Core sales growth exceeds 4.0% year-over-year for Q2 2026.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
Senior notes offering supports capital allocation strategy.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
ENTRY INTO A MATERIAL DEFINITIVE AGREEMENT. On June 1, 2026, Veralto Corporation (the “Company”) issued $725,000,000 aggregate principal amount of 4.850% Senior Notes due 2032 (the “Notes”) in an underwritten offering (the “Offering”) pursuant to a registration statement on Form S-3ASR (File No. 333-282816) filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “Commission”) on October 24, 2024 (the “Registration Statement”) and a preliminary prospectus supplement and prospectus supplement fi…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
$103.00 – $113.00 (median $110.00) · 3 analysts · as of 2026-04-30
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Environmental & Facilities Services.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
VLTO Veralto | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 99 of 100 | fair | moderate |
WM Waste Management | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 75 of 100 | fair | moderate |
RSG Republic Services | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 82 of 100 | fair | moderate |
ROL Rollins, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 65 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
CLH Clean Harbors | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 39 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
6 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=1113).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 4 guided quarters · 7.2% avg surprise
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Launch a program to streamline business processes and enhance operating efficiency.
Focus on achieving non-GAAP core sales growth in the range of 3.0% to 4.5% year-over-year.
Raise full-year adjusted earnings per share guidance to a range of $4.20 to $4.28.
Ensure free cash flow conversion of approximately 100% of GAAP net earnings.
Why it matters: Better free cash flow means the company is managing money well and is healthy.
Confirms:Free cash flow conversion improves to above 50% in the next quarter.
Disproves:Free cash flow conversion drops below 30% in the next quarter.
Why it matters: An increase would show strong earnings potential. It would also suggest a good outlook.
Confirms:Management raises adjusted EPS guidance above $4.28 for the full year 2026.
Disproves:Management maintains or lowers adjusted EPS guidance below $4.20 for the full year 2026.
Why it matters: A larger buyback would indicate strong cash flow and confidence in the company's value.
Confirms:There will be news of share buybacks over $300 million in 2026.
Disproves:No new share buyback announcements or a reduction in the buyback program.
Why it matters: If EPS guidance goes up, it shows management believes earnings will grow.
Confirms:Management issues a press release to raise EPS guidance before the Q2 earnings report.
Disproves:No change in EPS guidance is announced before the Q2 earnings report.
Why it matters: More savings would show the cost-saving program is working. It would also boost profits.
Confirms:The cost-saving program is expected to save over $75 million this year.
Disproves:The cost-saving program may save less than $65 million this year.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION On April 28, 2026, Veralto Corporation (“Veralto”) issued a press release announcing financial results for the quarter ended April 3, 2026. A copy of the release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein. This Current Report on Form 8-K and the press release attached hereto are being furnished by Veralto pursuant to
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION On February 3, 2026, Veralto Corporation (“Veralto”) issued a press release announcing financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein. This Current Report on Form 8-K and the press release attached hereto are being furnished by Veralto pursuant to
OTHER EVENTS On November 25, 2025, Veralto Corporation (the “Company”) announced that its Board of Directors approved a share repurchase program authorizing the repurchase of up to $750 million of the Company’s common stock from time to time on the open market (including through the use of trading plans intended to qualify under Rule 10b5-1 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended), in privately negotiated transactions or by other methods, at the Company’s discretion. The program…
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION On October 28, 2025, Veralto Corporation (“Veralto”) issued a press release announcing financial results for the quarter ended October 3, 2025. A copy of the release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein. This Current Report on Form 8-K and the press release attached hereto are being furnished by Veralto pursuant to