Reading PESI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track PESI free→Reading PESI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track PESI free→NASDAQIndustrialsWaste ManagementSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and earnings quality cannot be assessed as the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, and it has a capital-friendly stance. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, with performance below typical for sector peers. Peer multiples imply a price about 77% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is rich. This analysis is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $10.50. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $10 PESI trades at 3× p/s — 1.8× the 2× p/s peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $5.86 fair value is medium-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 79% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about 9%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only expensive valuation — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=3678).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.80x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
8 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by M&A activity. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=1113).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.08 → $-0.17 (-112.5% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$232.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$596.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $4,537.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If the industrial sector's revenue growth speeds up, it may help Perma-Fix. This shows a stronger market.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth speeds up toward past highs. This shows stronger demand.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth keeps slowing down. This shows ongoing challenges.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for PESI yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of such section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Environmental & Facilities Services.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
PESI Perma-Fix Environmental Services, Inc. | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 6 of 100 | expensive | high |
WM Waste Management | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 77 of 100 | fair | moderate |
RSG Republic Services | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 81 of 100 | fair | moderate |
ROL Rollins, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 65 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
VLTO Veralto | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 100 of 100 | fair | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management expects improved performance starting in Q2 2026 through the rest of the year.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Despite management's expectation for improved performance starting in Q2 2026, the financials for 2026-Q1 show a net income of -$7.487 million and operating income of -$7.483 million, indicating a challenging start to the year. The trajectory remains to be seen as the year progresses.
“We expect Perma-Fix to deliver improved performance beginning in the second quarter, through the balance of 2026.”
Entered into an underwriting agreement for a public offering to raise capital.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Perma-Fix entered into a debt issuance agreement to raise capital, indicating a strategic move towards capital allocation. However, the financials for 2026-Q1 show a net income of -$7.487 million, suggesting financial challenges that may necessitate this capital raise. The impact of this capital allocation on performance is yet to be determined.
“Perma-Fix entered into an underwriting agreement for a public offering.”
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Underwriting Agreement On May 14, 2026, Perma-Fix Environmental Services, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into an underwriting agreement (the “Underwriting Agreement”) with Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC (the “Underwriter”). Pursuant to the terms of the Underwriting Agreement, the Company agreed to sell, and the Underwriter agreed to purchase, in a firm commitment underwritten public offering (the “Offering”), subject to and on the conditions set forth…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Principal Officers. Management Incentive Plans (“MIPs”) On January 22, 2026, upon the recommendation of the Compensation and Stock Option Committee (the “Compensation Committee”) of Perma-Fix Environmental Services, Inc. (the “Company”), the Company’s Board of Directors (the “Board”) approved, with Mark Duff and Dr. Louis Centofanti, each also an executive officer o…
Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement. On November 13, 2025, Perma-Fix Environmental Services, Inc.’s (the “Company”) Board of Directors (the “Board”) voted to rescind a Second Amendment to the Company’s 2017 Stock Option Plan that had been submitted to, and approved by, the Company’s stockholders at the Company’s 2023 Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on July 20, 2023, in order to render moot a challenge to the Second Amendment brought by a stockholder of the Company on November 2…
Material Modification to Rights of Security Holders. The information disclosed in 5.03 is herein incorporated by reference.