Reading ABAT? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ABAT free→Reading ABAT? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ABAT free→NASDAQIndustrialsWaste ManagementSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, and it has a capital-friendly stance. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, with performance below typical for sector peers. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $3.10. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Trading +865% versus the 12-month peer-multiple consensus (looks stretched on this basis).
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=3678).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.40x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
9 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by M&A activity. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=1113).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.04 → $-0.05 (-25.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 0 cut, 2 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$297.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$1,006.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $7,785.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Valuation label changed from 'None' to 'expensive'.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: The DOE agreement could give important funding for operations and growth.
Confirms:Management says the DOE funding is being used well in operations.
Disproves:No measurable progress reported from the DOE funding within six months.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
Advances: Ramp and streamline Nevada facility operations
Positive gross margin supports operational ramp-up.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On June 2, 2026, American Battery Technology Company (the “Company”) and the United States Department of Energy (the “DOE”), through its Manufacturing Energy Supply Chain (“MESC”) office, entered into a new agreement to modify (the “Modification Agreement”) the previous Assistance Agreement award number DE-MS0000010 (the “Grant”), for a $115,489,662 project for the design, construction, commissioning, and operation of a commercial scale facility for…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Environmental & Facilities Services.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
ABAT American Battery Technology Co. | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 13 of 100 | expensive | high |
WM Waste Management | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 76 of 100 | fair | moderate |
RSG Republic Services | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 82 of 100 | fair | moderate |
ROL Rollins, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 66 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
VLTO Veralto | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 99 of 100 | fair | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Significantly ramp and streamline operations at the Nevada critical mineral recycling facility.
Focus on achieving record-breaking revenue with significant quarter-over-quarter growth.
Enter into agreements to expand facility capabilities and operations.
Advances: Achieve record-breaking revenue growth
Positive gross margin indicates potential revenue growth.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 11, 2026, American Battery Technology Company (the “Company”) posted an investor presentation to its website used in an earnings call pertaining to the financial results for the fiscal quarter ended March 31, 2026. On May 11, 2026, the Company issued a press release relating to the Company’s financial results for the fiscal quarter ended March 31, 2026. The presentation and the press release are furnished hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit…
Ryan Melsert: Compensatory arrangement for existing CEO and CTO.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 6, 2026, American Battery Technology Company (the “Company”) issued a press release relating to the Company’s financial results for the second fiscal quarter ended December 31, 2025. The press release is furnished hereto as Exhibit 99.1. Also on February 6, 2026, the Company posted an investor presentation to its website used in the earnings call pertaining to the financial results for second fiscal quarter ended December 31, 2025. Th…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Appointment of Chief Financial Officer On January 25, 2026, the Board of Directors of the American Battery Technology Company (the “Company”) appointed Alejandro Flores Arteaga to serve as Chief Financial Officer of the Company, effective February 9, 2026 (the “Employment Date”). Mr. Flores, age 50, brings over 20 years of experience in financial l…