United Airlines Holdings (UAL)
NASDAQIndustrialsAirlines, Airports & Air ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-14
$106.92-1.87%
Close 2026-09-15 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsAirlines, Airports & Air ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-14
Research Workspace
Put UAL beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Industrials is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Maintain about 10% revenue growth: rev +16.0% vs 10.0% target.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 8% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 28% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskUAL's growth depends on maintaining about 10% revenue growth. Revenue grew 16% year over year, and the last quarter beat expectations. UAL trades at 12× P/E versus a peer median of 24×. The price reflects less growth than we forecast. A specific risk is that management's credibility is questioned. If UAL cuts guidance after raising it, that could hurt credibility. Peer multiples imply a price about 42% above where it trades. Our read remains intact.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-15. UAL is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 25 analysts currently covering UAL (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 8 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for UAL in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare UAL with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UAL Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-14. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Passenger Airlines — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put UAL next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Win and retain brand-loyal customers through customer experience investments
Incidents like this can harm customer experience and brand loyalty.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-15. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $106.92
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $106.92.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Maintain operational excellence with lowest seat cancellation rates
Suspending flights undermines operational excellence.
Threatens: Win and retain brand-loyal customers through customer experience investments
Cancellation affects brand loyalty and customer experience.
Advances: Build the greatest airline in history with customer-focused growth
New routes enhance customer-focused growth and brand loyalty.
Threatens: Maintain operational excellence with lowest seat cancellation rates
Delayed aircraft affects operational excellence and capacity.
Advances: Maintain operational excellence with lowest seat cancellation rates
Demonstrates operational excellence and safety commitment.
Advances: Win and retain brand-loyal customers through customer experience investments
Enhances customer experience and loyalty through improved standby process.
Advances: Win and retain brand-loyal customers through customer experience investments
Enhances customer experience and loyalty through innovative service.
