NYSEIndustrialsAirlinesSnapshot 2026-07-31
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Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Industrials is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Total revenue growth of at least 10% year over year: Q2 FY2026 rev +16.4% vs 10%.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 9% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 2% a day.
View RiskSouthwest Airlines (LUV) aims to grow through business transformation initiatives and strong demand. Recent earnings showed a significant beat with revenue growth of 16.4% year over year. It trades at 22× P/E, below the peer median of 24×. If LUV cuts guidance, it could face a 19% chance of missing estimates. Peer multiples imply a price about 22% above where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. LUV is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 25 analysts currently covering LUV (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 9 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for LUV in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Passenger Airlines — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Threatens: Maintain cost discipline and achieve multi-year cost reduction targets
Rising fuel costs impact cost discipline and EPS.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $44.97
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $44.97.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Maintain cost discipline and achieve multi-year cost reduction targets
Fuel costs impacting overall airline profitability.
Advances: Execute business transformation initiatives
Record revenues support business transformation initiatives.
Advances: Optimize network and capacity for higher returns
Optimizing fuel supply enhances network and capacity returns.
Threatens: Optimize network and capacity for higher returns
Weak Q3 outlook raises concerns about network optimization.
Threatens: Maintain cost discipline and achieve multi-year cost reduction targets
Q3 forecast miss raises concerns about cost discipline.
Advances: Implement business transformation initiatives
Strong demand and premium spending support growth initiatives.
Threatens: Enhance customer product offerings
Lower forecast indicates potential issues with customer offerings.
