NASDAQIndustrialsAirlinesSnapshot 2026-07-31
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Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Industrials is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Achieve adjusted EPS between -$0.40 and $0.50 for full-year 2026: EPS guidance low -0.40 vs -0.40.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 0% over the past year.
View GrowthManagement screens weak on capital allocation, margins, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 52% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskULCC's growth depends on achieving adjusted EPS guidance between -$0.40 and $0.50 for full-year 2026, which is currently at risk due to its exit from the entire market. Revenue grew 38% year over year, and the last quarter saw a significant earnings beat of 79%. It trades at 0.4× P/S (price-to-sales) versus a peer median of 1.7×, indicating that the price reflects less growth than forecasted. The specific risk is the company's ability to meet its EPS guidance, as exiting the market undermines growth objectives. Peer multiples imply a price about 76% above where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. ULCC is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 12 analysts currently covering ULCC (as of Jul 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Passenger Airlines — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Threatens: Achieve EPS guidance of $(0.40) to $0.50 for 2026
Exiting the market undermines growth and EPS objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Spirit's bankruptcy may increase market share for Frontier.
Partnership enhances customer loyalty and revenue potential.
Partnership enhances customer loyalty and revenue potential.
New board member may enhance strategic direction.
