Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC)
NASDAQIndustrialsAirlines, Airports & Air ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-14
$5.57-1.07%
Close 2026-09-15 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsAirlines, Airports & Air ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-14
Research Workspace
Put ULCC beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Industrials is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Achieve adjusted EPS between -$0.40 and $0.50 for full-year 2026: Q2 EPS -0.10 vs target -0.40; Q3 guide 0.00 vs target -0.40.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 10% over the past year.
View GrowthManagement screens weak on capital allocation, margins, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 52% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskULCC's growth depends on achieving adjusted EPS between -$0.40 and $0.50 for full-year 2026. Recent performance shows a Q2 EPS of -0.10, which is below targets. The stock trades at 0.3× price-to-sales, below the peer median of 1.6×. This suggests the price reflects less growth than forecasted. A specific risk is the potential for guidance cuts, with a 26% miss probability for the next quarter. Peer multiples imply a price about 65% above where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-15. ULCC is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 12 analysts currently covering ULCC (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 3 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for ULCC in the last 4 months.
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Compare ULCC with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ULCC Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 3 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-14. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Passenger Airlines — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put ULCC next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Exiting market undermines growth and revenue potential.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-15. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $5.57
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $5.57.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Exiting market undermines growth and fleet expansion objectives.
Threatens: Fleet expansion with delivery of 22 aircraft in 2026
Lease termination may hinder fleet expansion plans.
Advances: Enhance customer experience with Starlink onboard Wi-Fi launch
Launch of Starlink Wi-Fi enhances customer experience significantly.
Threatens: Achieve EPS guidance of $(0.40) to $0.50 for 2026
Exiting the market undermines growth and EPS objectives.
Advances: Enhance customer experience with Starlink onboard Wi-Fi launch
Starlink launch enhances customer experience objective.
Spirit's bankruptcy may provide growth opportunities.
Partnership enhances customer loyalty and revenue potential.
