Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. (TR)
NYSEConsumer StaplesFood ConfectionersSnapshot 2026-10-29
$36.55+2.32%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesFood ConfectionersSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put TR beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Packaged Foods & Meats is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — EPS meets or exceeds guidance: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 2% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 46%, softest on share dilution.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 21% growth a year, above the roughly 3% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskTR depends on steady earnings quality, yet revenue declined in the latest two quarters. Third-quarter revenue fell 1% year over year, following a 1% decline; the latest EPS result has no recorded verdict. TR trades at 25× P/E versus a 13× peer median, near its own 26× history. The market is pricing in more growth than we forecast, so expectations look full. A 29% modeled next-quarter miss probability and the premium over peers threaten the thesis. Peer multiples imply a price about 21% below where it trades; the thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. TR is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
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Compare TR with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TR Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Packaged Foods & Meats — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put TR next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Downgrade suggests potential revenue growth challenges.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
