NYSEConsumer StaplesConfectionersSnapshot 2026-07-31
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Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Packaged Foods & Meats: fringe margins under pressure (0q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 8% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 42% growth a year, above the roughly 2% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskHershey's growth depends on its strong sales from salty snacks and price hikes. Recent earnings showed a 6.6% revenue increase and a positive earnings surprise of 31%. It trades at 24× P/E, which is 2.1× the peer median of 12×. The market is pricing in more growth than expected, making it look expensive. A risk is that guidance cuts could lead to a stock decline, with a 12% miss probability. Peer multiples imply a price about 40% below where it trades. Our read remains intact.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. HSY is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 24 analysts currently covering HSY (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 12 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for HSY in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Packaged Foods & Meats — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Advances: Increase net sales growth
Supply chain progress supports net sales growth objective.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $175.05
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $175.05.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Manage capital expenditures
Steady dividend supports capital allocation objectives.
Advances: Increase net sales growth
Strong Q2 results support net sales growth objective.
Advances: Increase net sales growth
Price hikes contributing to sales growth and exceeding expectations.
Advances: Increase net sales growth
Sales rise from salty snacks enhances overall growth.
Advances: Increase net sales growth
Focus on top cities likely boosts net sales growth.
Threatens: Increase net sales growth
Cocoa costs impact net sales growth potential.
Advances: Increase net sales growth
New product launch could drive net sales growth.
