Reading TISI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track TISI free→Reading TISI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track TISI free→NYSEIndustrialsSpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and earnings quality is fragile, reported profits aren't backed by cash. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, but risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, TISI trades below typical levels. Peer multiples imply a price about 50% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk, as it trades below peer multiples while recent financials are weak or earnings quality is fragile. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $16.55. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $17 TISI trades at 0× p/s, below its 2× p/s peer median. Our $34 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 49% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 6%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 64% for the rest of the cohort, n=4882).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.45x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Industrials names rated fragile grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=3333).
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
7 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=1113).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$122.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$472.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $3,756.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Retail sales data can impact demand for Team Inc's services. Strong sales may signal better business conditions.
Confirms:Retail sales growth reported above 0.5% month over month.
Disproves:Retail sales growth reported below 0.0% month over month.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for TISI yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Team, Inc. (the “Company”) held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 20, 2026 (the “Annual Meeting”). At the Annual Meeting, as described below under Item 5.07, the Company’s shareholders approved Amendment No.1 (the “Plan Amendment”) to the Second Amendment and Restatement of the Team, Inc. 2018 Equity Incentive Plan (the “Equity Incenti…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Diversified Support Services.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
TISI Team Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 22 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
CTAS Cintas | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 82 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
CPRT Copart | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 87 of 100 | fair | elevated |
RBA RB Global | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 71 of 100 | full | moderate |
ULS UL Solutions | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 90 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management has set a revenue guidance range of $920 million to $945 million for the fiscal year 2026.
The company aims to achieve adjusted EBITDA in the range of $68 million to $73 million for the fiscal year 2026.
Management has provided a gross margin guidance range of $240 million to $260 million for the fiscal year 2026.
Why it matters: Interest rate changes can affect borrowing costs and business investment. A rate hike may slow growth.
Confirms:FOMC raises rates by 25 basis points or more.
Disproves:FOMC keeps rates unchanged or lowers them.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 13, 2026 , Team, Inc. (“we,” “our,” “us,” or the “Company”) disseminated a press release announcing unaudited financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. The press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Item 2.02, including the attached exhibit, is being furnished, and shall not be deemed to be filed for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchan…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 12, 2026 , Team, Inc. (“we,” “our,” “us,” or the “Company”) disseminated a press release announcing unaudited financial results for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025. The press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Item 2.02, including the attached exhibit, is being furnished, and shall not be deemed to be filed for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. As previously disclosed, on January 26, 2026, Team, Inc. (the “Company”) announced that Keith Tucker would depart from his role as Chief Executive Officer of the Company, effective as of January 31, 2026. Mr. Tucker’s departure was a termination without cause under the applicable Company policies and Mr. Tucker’s equity award agreements and was not…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Chief Executive Officer Separation On January 26, 2026, Team, Inc. (the “Company”) announced that Keith Tucker will depart from his role as Chief Executive Officer of the Company, effective as of January 31, 2026. Mr. Tucker’s departure is not the result of any disagreement with the Company on any matter relating to the Company’s operations, polici…