Reading SSTI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SSTI free→Reading SSTI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SSTI free→NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, but risk is high, and compared with sector peers, SSTI is below typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 50% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk, as it trades below peer multiples while recent financials are weak. Key factors to watch include potential guidance cuts and trends among sector bellwethers. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $7.50. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $8.03 SSTI trades at 1× p/s, below its 3× p/s peer median. Our $15 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 50% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 1%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated weak grew net income 63% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=2777).
Over the trailing year it converted -0.65x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates.
4 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 64% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=1040).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.22 → $-0.18 (+14.6% / 30d). 1 raised, 1 cut, 4 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 67% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$239.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$683.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $6,319.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if the company can improve its loss-making status.
Confirms:Q2 earnings report shows a loss greater than the previous quarter's loss.
Disproves:The Q2 earnings report shows a smaller loss. It may even show a profit.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for SSTI yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
of this Current Report on Form 8-K and Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto are being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, regardless of any general incorporation language in such filing.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Application Software.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
SSTI SoundThinking, Inc. | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 16 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
ORCL Oracle Corporation | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 66 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
PLTR Palantir Technologies | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 82 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
SAP SAP SE | — | — | elevated |
APP AppLovin | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 60 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
The company aims to achieve an Adjusted EBITDA margin of 16% to 18% for the full year 2026.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The company reaffirmed its Adjusted EBITDA margin guidance range of 16% to 18% for the full year 2026. However, the financials show a net income decline from -$2.77M in 2025-Q4 to -$7.01M in 2026-Q1, indicating limited progress towards achieving the margin target.
“The company reaffirmed its Adjusted EBITDA margin guidance range of 16% to 18% for the full year 2026.”
“The Company is also lowering its Adjusted EBITDA margin guidance to 16% to 18% for the full year 2026.”
The company aims to achieve a revenue guidance range of $109 million to $111 million for the full year 2026.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The company reaffirmed its revenue guidance range of $109M to $111M for 2026. However, revenue declined from $25.1M in 2025-Q3 to $24.18M in 2026-Q1, indicating limited progress towards the target.
Why it matters: Revenue growth trends help us see how the company is doing in the market.
Confirms:Company revenue growth reports below the median of the sector.
Disproves:Company revenue growth remains above the median of the sector.
of this Current Report on Form 8-K and Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto are being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, regardless of any general incorporation language in such filing.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On March 6, 2026, Nasim Golzadeh notified SoundThinking, Inc. (the “Company”) of her resignation as the Company’s Managing Director, TechnoLogic and Executive Vice President, Investigative Solutions and from all other positions she holds with the Company and each of its subsidiaries, effective March 31, 2026, to pursue an opportunity outside the pu…
of this Current Report on Form 8-K and Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto are being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, regardless of any general incorporation language in such filing.
Entry Into a Material Definitive Agreement. On August 28, 2025, SoundThinking, Inc. entered into a Seventh Amendment to Credit Agreement with Umpqua Bank (the “Amendment”), which amends the terms of that certain Credit Agreement, dated as of September 27, 2018 (as amended, the “Credit Agreement”), to extend the maturity date from October 15, 2025 to October 15, 2027 and increase the revolving credit commitment from $25.0 million to $40.0 million. The foregoing description of the Amendment is…
“The company reaffirmed its full-year 2026 revenue guidance range of $109.0 million to $111.0 million.”
“The Company is lowering its full year 2026 revenue guidance range to $109.0 million to $111.0 million.”