Reading SOAR? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SOAR free→Reading SOAR? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SOAR free→AMEXIndustrialsAirports & Air ServicesSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak. Earnings quality is fragile, and management's track record is volatile. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, SOAR is above typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 74% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk. This pattern occurs because recent financials are weak or earnings quality is fragile. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $0.18. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $0.18 SOAR trades at 0× p/s, below its 2× p/s peer median. Our $0.76 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price sits about 74% below a flat-multiple fair value; not enough history to forecast a comparison. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=3678).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.59x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Industrials names rated fragile grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=3333).
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the broad stock market, the US dollar, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity.
31 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by M&A activity. Historically, Industrials names rated volatile grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=840).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$543.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$1,570.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $9,630.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Management rose by 13.1 points (from 17.9 to 31.0).
As of June 16, 2026, management rose. The sector backdrop remains a headwind. Risk is elevated, and earnings quality is fragile. Recent financial performance is weak.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
No named catalysts to watch right now. Check back after the next earnings report.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
Advances: Address compliance with NYSE listing standards
Eliminating debt improves compliance with NYSE standards.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. As previously disclosed, on March 17, 2026, Volato Group, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), received a notice from the NYSE American LLC (the “NYSE American”) advising the Company that it is not in compliance with the NYSE American continued listing standards set forth in Section 1003(a)(i) and Section 1003(a)(ii) of the NYSE American Company Guide. The Company was required to subm…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
SOAR VOLATO GROUP INC | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 72 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
The company is prioritizing acquisitions in AI infrastructure to enhance its capabilities.
Volato Group is actively engaging in mergers and acquisitions to expand its business.
Volato Group is addressing compliance issues with NYSE listing standards to maintain its listing.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement . Securities Purchase Agreement On June 7, 2026, Volato Group, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement (the “Purchase Agreement”) with Catheter Precision, Inc. (NYSE American: VTAK) and certain institutional investors (collectively, the “Investors”) for the sale by the Company of 6,500,000 shares (the “Shares”) of the Company’s Class A common stock, par value $0.0001 per share, at a per share price of $0.34. The closing of t…
in its entirety. The Company offered and will issue the Shares in reliance upon the exemptions from registration contained in Section 4(a)(2) of the Securities Act and Regulation D promulgated thereunder, based in part on representations made by the Investors. The securities were offered without any general solicitation by the Company or its representatives. The securities offered have not been registered under the Securities Act and may not be offered or sold in the United States without reg…
Regulation FD Disclosure. On June 8, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing the capital raise and a focus on AI infrastructure acquisition opportunities. The press release is included as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Item 7.01, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for any purpose, including for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (…
Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement As previously disclosed, on July 28, 2025, Volato Group, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger and Reorganization (as subsequently amended, the “Merger Agreement”) with Volato Merger Subsidiary, Inc., a Nevada corporation and wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company (“Merger Sub”), and M2i Global, Inc., a Nevada corporation (“M2i Global”), pursuant to which Merger Sub would merge with and into M2…