Reading SACH? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SACH free→Reading SACH? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SACH free→AMEXReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak. Earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company is unprofitable. Management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent changes. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, SACH is below typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 79% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is expensive, growth-justified. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 3 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $0.97. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $0.99 SACH trades at 1× p/s, below its 2× p/s peer median. Our $0.57 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 75% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about -13%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Flags: expensive valuation, a turbulent sector regime (Heating).
For similar setups historically (n=2,301): about 43% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 77% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Real Estate names rated weak grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 55% for the rest of the cohort, n=1506).
Over the trailing year it converted -4.94x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates.
16 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Real Estate names rated volatile grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=3774).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.02 → $0.02 (+0.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 0 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 0% of analysts rate Buy.
1 positive, 3 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$99.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$489.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $5,217.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Total stock risk rose by 23.7 points (from 72.8 to 96.5).
Market risk rose by 23.7 points (from 72.8 to 96.5).
risk label changed from 'elevated' to 'high'.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: The dividend payment shows the company's cash flow health. A missed payment could signal trouble.
Confirms:The company pays the declared dividend of $0.01 per common share on June 30, 2026.
Disproves:The company delays or cancels the dividend payment.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for SACH yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
No upside scenarios in the latest snapshot.
No downside scenarios in the latest snapshot.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 20, 2026, Sachem Capital Corp. (the “Company”) issued a press release, a copy of which is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference, announcing its financial results for the three month period ended March 31, 2026. In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, furnished pursuant to Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be “filed”…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Mortgage REITs.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
SACH Sachem Capital Corp | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 21 of 100 | expensive | high |
NLY Annaly Capital Management | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 33 of 100 | full | moderate |
AGNC AGNC Investment Corp | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 28 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
STWD Starwood Property Trust | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 28 of 100 | full | moderate |
RITM Rithm Capital | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 51 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLRE
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
Why it matters: If revenue growth speeds up, it may improve market sentiment for Sachem Capital. It could signal a recovery.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth is speeding up again. It is now above 5%.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth keeps slowing down or stays under 5%.
Other Events. On June 4, 2026, Sachem Capital Corp. (the "Company") issued a press release, a copy of which is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1, announcing that its board of directors authorized and declared a quarterly dividend of (i) $0.01 per common share, par value $0.001 per share, of the Company to be paid on June 30, 2026 to shareholders of record as of June 15, 2026; and (ii) $0.484375 per share on the Company’s 7.75% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock, par value $0.001, pa…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On May 17, 2026, Sachem Capital Corp., a New York corporation (“Sachem” or “Transferee Parent”), entered into a Contribution Agreement (the “Contribution Agreement”) with Industrial Realty Group Global, LLC, a Delaware limited liability company (“IRG Global”). The Contribution Agreement and the transactions contemplated thereby were unanimously approved by the Board of Directors of Sachem (the “Sachem Board”). Pursuant to the Contribution Agreement,…
Sachem expects that the issuance of the Class B Shares and OP Units will be exempt from registration under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), pursuant to Section 4(a)(2) thereof and/or Regulation D promulgated thereunder. IRG Global has represented that it is an “accredited investor” as defined in Rule 501(a) under the Securities Act, is acquiring the Equity Consideration for investment and not with a view to distribution, and acknowledges that the Equity Considera…
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including the information in the press release attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and the investor presentation attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2, shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference in the filings of the registrant under the Securities Act. How to Find Further Information This Current Report on Form 8-K does not constitute a solicitation of any vote or approval in connection with the proposed transaction between Sachem and IRG Global (the “Trans…