Reading S? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track S free→Reading S? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track S free→NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. Earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company was unprofitable over the past year. Peer multiples imply a price about 35% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening. If S reverses and cuts guidance after recently raising, that could lead to a credibility hit. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 4 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $15.03. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $15 S trades at 5× p/s, in line with its 5× p/s peer median. Our $12 fair value reflects that, low confidence. Analysts: $15–$24. Not investment advice.
(median $18.00) · 17 analysts · as of 2026-05-29
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 28% near-term growth, in line with our forecast of about 27%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated weak grew net income 63% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=2777).
Over the trailing year it converted -0.20x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.18 → $-0.23 (-26.7% / 30d). 1 raised, 11 cut, 14 covering analysts.
1 upgrade, 0 downgrades / 30d, 16 maintained. 62% of analysts rate Buy.
10 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 6.8% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 0% of the last 1 guided quarters · -200.0% avg surprise
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$214.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$486.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $3,964.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If revenue growth in the sector drops, it may point to bigger problems for SentinelOne.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth reported below its median for the last year.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth remains above its median for the last year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for S yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 28, 2026, SentinelOne, Inc. (the “Company”) announced its financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2027 ended April 30, 2026, by issuing an earnings presentation and a press release. The Company also announced that it would hold a webcast to discuss its financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2027 ended April 30, 2026. A copy of the press release and the earnings presentation is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3, 2027-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Systems Software.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
S SentinelOne Inc | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 63 of 100 | full | elevated |
MSFT Microsoft | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 84 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
PANW Palo Alto Networks | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 29 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
CRWD CrowdStrike | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 34 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
FTNT Fortinet | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 91 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
8 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Information Technology names rated volatile grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 61% for the rest of the cohort, n=793).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Implement a restructuring plan to streamline the organizational structure and improve efficiencies.
Concentrate investments in AI, Data, Cloud, and Endpoint to drive growth.
Advance the company's ongoing commitment to achieving profitable growth.
Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities. On May 28, 2026, SentinelOne, Inc. (the “Company”) announced a restructuring plan (the “Plan”) to further streamline the Company’s organizational structure, improve efficiencies, and concentrate investments across high-yielding growth areas including AI, Data, Cloud and Endpoint, while continuing to advance the Company’s ongoing commitment to profitable growth. The Plan includes a reduction of the Company’s current full-time employees by appr…
Regulation FD Disclosure. On May 28, 2026, the Company posted supplemental investor materials on the Investors Relations section of its website, available at investors.sentinelone.com. The Company announces material information to the public through filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, the investor relations page on the Company’s website, press releases, public conference calls, webcasts, the Company’s news website, available at sentinelone.com/press and blog posts on the Comp…
Departures of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (c) On March 19, 2026, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of SentinelOne, Inc. (the “Company”) appointed Barry Padgett, the Company’s current Chief Growth Officer, as the Company’s President and Chief Operating Officer, effective March 24, 2026 (the “Effective Date”). Effective as of the Effective Date, Mr. Padgett will no longer serve as the Co…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 12, 2026, SentinelOne, Inc. (the “Company”) announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended January 31, 2026, by issuing an earnings presentation and a press release. The Company also announced that it would hold a webcast to discuss its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended January 31, 2026. A copy of the press release and the earnings presentation is furnished herewith as Exhibits 9…