Rubrik Inc (RBRK)
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-10-30
$124.15-7.09%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put RBRK beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Systems Software: fringe margins under pressure (2q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 42% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 52% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskRubrik’s investment case rests on continued sales growth, despite weak recent performance and elevated risk. Revenue growth edged down from 39% to 38% year over year, while Q2 FY2027 beat non-GAAP EPS consensus. RBRK trades at 17× sales versus a 4× peer median, above its 12× historical multiple. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, despite that premium. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 15%. Peer multiples imply a price about 32% below where it trades; our read remains intact. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. RBRK is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 28 analysts currently covering RBRK (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 9 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for RBRK in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBRK Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 4 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Systems Software — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put RBRK next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Achieve revenue growth
Fiscal 2027 outlook raise indicates strong revenue growth.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $124.15
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $124.15.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Achieve revenue growth
Fiscal 2027 outlook raise indicates strong revenue growth.
Advances: Achieve strong subscription ARR growth
Subscription ARR growth surged 33%, exceeding expectations.
Advances: Achieve revenue growth
Revenue jumped 38%, prompting raised annual outlook.
Advances: Achieve revenue growth
Increased price target indicates strong revenue growth potential.
Advances: Achieve revenue growth
Positive sentiment on AI positioning supports revenue growth.
Advances: Achieve revenue growth
Addresses cost concerns, supporting revenue growth objective.
Advances: Achieve revenue growth
Revenue jumps 39% and FY27 outlook raised.