SailPoint Inc (SAIL)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-10-29
$22.00-1.26%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-10-29
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Put SAIL beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Systems Software: fringe margins under pressure (2q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Management is running behind on a stated commitment.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 64% growth a year, above the roughly 23% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 52% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskSAIL’s AI-driven identity security expansion depends on continued ARR growth, despite slowing revenue growth. Revenue growth eased to 17% from 22%; latest non-GAAP EPS was inline. SAIL trades at 74× P/E versus the 45× peer median. The market prices more growth than our forecast. The risk is management running behind on a stated commitment. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 20%. Peer multiples imply a price about 65% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the thesis is on watch, and this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. SAIL is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 27 analysts currently covering SAIL (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 14 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for SAIL in the last 4 months.
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Compare SAIL with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAIL Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Systems Software — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put SAIL next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Expand AI-driven identity security solutions and integrations
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $22.00
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $22.00.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
AI governance opportunity aligns with AI-driven solutions expansion.
Advances: Expand AI-driven identity security solutions and integrations
Next-gen SIEM aligns with AI-driven identity security expansion.
Advances: Grow Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) and SaaS ARR
Reaching $1.2B ARR supports growth objectives.
Advances: Grow Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) and SaaS ARR
Analyst target increase reflects confidence in ARR growth.
Advances: Grow Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) and SaaS ARR
FY2029 targets indicate strong long-term growth potential.
Profit concerns may hinder growth expectations.
Threatens: Grow Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) and SaaS ARR
Concerns over growth acceleration impact revenue targets.
Threatens: Grow Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) and SaaS ARR
Weaker net-new ARR raises concerns about growth.