Nutanix (NTNX)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-10-30
$67.21-4.95%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put NTNX beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Systems Software: fringe margins under pressure (2q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue growth is slowing — up about 9% over the past year and decelerating.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 1% on a typical day and fell roughly 52% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskNutanix’s case rests on strong recent performance, cash-backed profits, and continued revenue growth. Revenue growth accelerated to 16% year over year in fourth quarter fiscal 2026, after 10% in Q3. Non-GAAP earnings beat consensus in the latest quarter. NTNX trades at 38× P/E versus a 47× peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast. An elevated risk profile and unsteady management challenge the growth case. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 15%. Peer multiples imply a price about 9% above where it trades; our read remains intact. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. NTNX is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 17 analysts currently covering NTNX (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 9 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for NTNX in the last 4 months.
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Compare NTNX with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NTNX Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 4 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Systems Software — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put NTNX next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Increase revenue growth
Validates growth potential in external storage market.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $67.21
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $67.21.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Enhance free cash flow performance
Free cash flow guidance impacts profitability and growth objectives.
Advances: Drive sustainable growth and improve profitability
Record revenue supports sustainable growth and profitability.
Advances: Increase revenue growth
Exceeding estimates supports revenue growth objective.
Advances: Drive sustainable growth and improve profitability
Revenue increase aligns with sustainable growth goal.
Financial results confirm growth trajectory and profitability improvements.
Threatens: Increase revenue growth
Slowing growth impacts revenue growth objective.
Validates Nutanix's edge solutions and enhances product offerings.
