SentinelOne Inc (S)

NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-10-23

$24.00+6.67%

Close 2026-10-23 · 1-day change

Investment OutlookAs of Oct 24, 2026

What could strengthen or challenge SentinelOne Inc’s outlook?

The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.

Higher potential upsideImproving expectations

Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days

-0.0%

+10% or more+5%0%−5%−10% or less

0.47 → 0.47 EPS · FY ending Jan 31, 2028 · 19 analysts

Higher risk of downsideWeakening expectations

One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.

How this is measured

Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Sep 24, 2026 to Oct 24, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 12 to 19; this is not the number of analysts revising. Source: FMP consensus snapshots. The ±10% axis is a display range.

Measure / period	Management expectations	Analyst expectations
FY 2027 · Q3
Revenue	$309M–$311M	310.17M
EPS	$0.08–$0.09non-GAAP	0.091
Operating income	$38M–$40Mnon-GAAP	—
FY 2027 · Annual
Revenue	$1.2B–$1.21B	1.2B
EPS	$0.3–$0.32non-GAAP	0.319
Operating income	$124M–$128Mnon-GAAP	—
FY 2028 · Annual
Revenue	—	1.42B
EPS	—	0.466

What the Thesis Depends On

Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.

Key Factor	Why It Matters	Current Status	Break Condition	Latest Evidence
Operating income near $120 million in fiscal 2027	The company plans to improve profit with operating income near $120 million.	Intact	Operating income falls below $80 million in FY27	Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Source date unavailableLast status assessment Oct 24, 2026Compare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement.
Successful restructuring to improve efficiency and cut costs	Restructuring should cut costs and boost efficiency.	Improving	Restructuring fails to improve efficiency or causes growth harm	Record operating margins vs 2026-Q4 target Record operating margins and strong FY27 guidance support restructuring success, though $1.25B convertible notes introduce dilution risk. Context reviewed through Oct 23, 2026Last status assessment Oct 24, 2026Compare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement.
Revenue reaches about $1.2 billion in fiscal 2027	SentinelOne aims to grow revenue to about $1.2 billion in FY27.	Intact	Revenue falls below $1.0 billion in FY27	Revenue: $291.981M FY2027-Q2; GAAP. Published target: ~$1.2B. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Source published Aug 28, 2026291,981,000 USD · source valueSource reportLast status assessment Oct 24, 2026 Measurement source consolidated · GAAP FY2027-Q2 · Period ending Jul 31, 2026 Source: company_financial_results. Reference: 69be5394-e4e3-4f07-aff7-5864c19fff56. Source status: eligible. Compare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement.

Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.

Incoming Evidence

Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above

Expectations trend

Same fiscal period

FY2028 · fiscal year ending 2028-01-31 · fmp

FY2028 EPS$0.47

$0.50 → $0.47 · observed estimates

FY2028 revenue$1.42B

$1.41B → $1.42B · observed estimates

Exact estimates & source dates

One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.

FY2028 estimate observations · fmp
Snapshot	EPS	Revenue	EPS / revenue analysts
2026-07-24	$0.50	$1,411,883,179	13 / 26
2026-07-25	$0.50	$1,411,883,179	13 / 26
2026-07-26	$0.50	$1,411,872,989	13 / 26
2026-07-27	$0.50	$1,411,872,989	13 / 26
2026-07-28	$0.50	$1,411,872,989	13 / 26
2026-07-29	$0.50	$1,411,872,989	13 / 26
2026-07-30	$0.50	$1,411,872,989	13 / 26
2026-07-31	$0.50	$1,411,872,989	13 / 26
2026-08-01	$0.50	$1,411,872,989	13 / 26
2026-08-02	$0.50	$1,411,872,989	13 / 26
2026-08-03	$0.50	$1,411,872,989	13 / 26
2026-08-04	$0.50	$1,411,872,989	13 / 26
2026-08-05	$0.50	$1,411,872,989	13 / 26
2026-08-06	$0.50	$1,411,872,989	13 / 26
2026-08-08	$0.50	$1,411,872,989	13 / 26
2026-08-09	$0.50	$1,411,872,989	13 / 26
2026-08-10	$0.50	$1,411,872,989	13 / 26
2026-08-12	$0.50	$1,411,872,989	13 / 26
2026-08-13	$-0.57	$1,412,327,600	14 / 34
2026-08-14	$0.50	$1,411,872,989	13 / 26
2026-08-15	$0.50	$1,411,872,989	13 / 26
2026-08-16	$0.50	$1,411,872,989	13 / 26
2026-08-17	$0.50	$1,411,872,989	13 / 26
2026-08-18	$0.50	$1,411,872,989	13 / 26
2026-08-19	$0.50	$1,411,872,989	13 / 26
2026-08-20	$0.50	$1,411,591,433	13 / 26
2026-08-21	$0.50	$1,411,591,433	13 / 26
2026-08-22	$0.50	$1,411,438,567	13 / 26
2026-08-23	$0.50	$1,411,438,567	13 / 26
2026-08-24	$0.50	$1,411,438,567	13 / 26
2026-08-25	$0.50	$1,411,438,777	13 / 26
2026-08-26	$0.50	$1,411,438,567	13 / 26
2026-08-27	$0.50	$1,411,438,567	13 / 26
2026-08-28	$0.49	$1,412,864,122	13 / 25
2026-08-29	$0.47	$1,418,453,040	13 / 26
2026-08-30	$0.47	$1,418,453,040	13 / 26
2026-08-31	$0.47	$1,418,701,525	12 / 26
2026-09-01	$0.47	$1,418,762,131	12 / 26
2026-09-02	$0.47	$1,418,762,131	12 / 26
2026-09-03	$0.47	$1,418,762,131	12 / 26
2026-09-04	$0.47	$1,418,762,131	12 / 26
2026-09-05	$0.47	$1,418,762,131	12 / 26
2026-09-06	$0.47	$1,418,762,131	12 / 26
2026-09-07	$0.47	$1,418,762,131	12 / 26
2026-09-08	$0.47	$1,418,867,198	12 / 26
2026-09-09	$0.47	$1,418,868,326	12 / 26
2026-09-10	$0.47	$1,418,868,326	12 / 26
2026-09-11	$0.47	$1,418,935,952	12 / 25
2026-09-12	$0.47	$1,418,935,952	12 / 25
2026-09-13	$0.47	$1,418,935,952	12 / 25
2026-09-14	$0.47	$1,418,935,952	12 / 25
2026-09-15	$0.47	$1,418,935,958	12 / 25
2026-09-16	$0.47	$1,418,929,140	12 / 25
2026-09-17	$0.47	$1,418,929,140	12 / 25
2026-09-18	$0.47	$1,418,929,140	12 / 25
2026-09-19	$0.47	$1,418,929,134	12 / 25
2026-09-20	$0.47	$1,418,929,134	12 / 25
2026-09-21	$0.47	$1,418,929,134	12 / 25
2026-09-22	$0.47	$1,418,929,134	12 / 25
2026-09-23	$0.47	$1,418,929,134	12 / 25
2026-09-24	$0.47	$1,418,929,134	12 / 25
2026-09-25	$0.47	$1,418,929,134	12 / 25
2026-09-26	$0.47	$1,418,929,134	12 / 25
2026-09-27	$0.47	$1,418,929,134	12 / 25
2026-09-28	$0.47	$1,418,929,134	12 / 25
2026-09-29	$0.47	$1,418,929,134	12 / 25
2026-09-30	$0.47	$1,418,929,134	12 / 25
2026-10-01	$0.47	$1,418,929,134	19 / 25
2026-10-02	$0.47	$1,418,929,137	19 / 25
2026-10-03	$0.47	$1,418,929,137	19 / 25
2026-10-04	$0.47	$1,418,929,137	19 / 25
2026-10-05	$0.47	$1,418,929,137	19 / 25
2026-10-06	$0.47	$1,418,929,137	19 / 25
2026-10-07	$0.47	$1,418,929,137	19 / 25
2026-10-08	$0.47	$1,418,929,137	19 / 25
2026-10-09	$0.47	$1,418,929,137	19 / 25
2026-10-10	$0.47	$1,418,929,137	19 / 25
2026-10-11	$0.47	$1,418,929,137	19 / 25
2026-10-12	$0.47	$1,418,929,137	19 / 25
2026-10-13	$0.47	$1,418,929,137	19 / 25
2026-10-14	$0.47	$1,418,877,094	19 / 25
2026-10-15	$0.47	$1,418,877,094	19 / 24
2026-10-16	$0.47	$1,418,877,094	19 / 24
2026-10-17	$0.47	$1,418,877,094	19 / 24
2026-10-18	$0.47	$1,418,877,094	19 / 25
2026-10-19	$0.47	$1,418,877,094	19 / 25
2026-10-20	$0.47	$1,418,877,094	19 / 25
2026-10-21	$0.47	$1,418,877,094	19 / 25
2026-10-22	$0.47	$1,418,877,094	19 / 25
2026-10-23	$0.47	$1,418,878,262	19 / 25
2026-10-24	$0.47	$1,418,822,009	19 / 25

Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.

Compare required revenue and earnings

Analyst view

Monthly observations

Buy / Strong BuyHoldSell / Strong Sell

Exact monthly counts

Monthly rating snapshots · fmp. Missing snapshots are not zero.
Date	Buy*	Hold	Sell*
2026-05-01	24	14	0
2026-06-01	23	14	0
2026-07-01	22	14	0
2026-08-01	22	14	1
2026-09-01	21	15	0
2026-10-01	19	16	1

*Buy includes Strong Buy; Sell includes Strong Sell. Monthly counts describe the analyst mix, not the firms behind each recent action.

Latest: 19 Buy / Strong Buy · 16 Hold · 1 Sell / Strong Sell

0 upgrades0 downgrades5 maintains

Recent actions · Sep 25–Oct 24 · 5 recorded

Price-target changes

30 days

○ Previous · ● Latest · common dollar scale

Rosenblatt SecuritiesOct 23

$28.00New observation · no comparable prior

WedbushOct 22

$27.00New observation · no comparable prior

D.A. DavidsonOct 22 · prior May 29

$15.00 → $20.00+33.3%

FBN SecuritiesOct 6

$24.00New observation · no comparable prior

$0$15.40$30.80

1 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 3 without a comparable prior

How this is measured

Sep 25, 2026–Oct 24, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.

Outlook in Brief

The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next

What's improving

No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.

Still unresolved / key risks

Operating income near $120 million in fiscal 2027Direct metric needs a verified mapping
Revenue reaches about $1.2 billion in fiscal 2027Revenue: $291.981M

Next proof point

Dec 3, 2026

Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.

Review earnings

Bottom line

2 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.

The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.

Historical risk context

Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios

Price sensitivity

2.3%Typical daily move · historical

Downside history

-33.1%Maximum drawdown · trailing year

Read detailed Outlook Company context, assumptions & risks

SentinelOne Inc outlook in detail

The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.

Updated Oct 24, 2026

What kind of bet this is

S is a growth-focused cybersecurity business, but it is not yet a profitable compounder. The multi-year view is in a watch state: recent growth and non-GAAP margin progress are constructive, while weak results, elevated risk, and medium confidence leave the thesis unconfirmed.

What's priced into SentinelOne Inc

The valuation is described as carrying a durable premium of 1.8 times versus peers, with expectations judged just 5% above the model baseline. The premium appears justified in the supplied assessment, and no fragility gates are active, but the evidence gives no absolute valuation measure.

What the fundamentals likely do

Near term, revenue and annual recurring revenue grew 21% and 22% year over year in Q3, while the non-GAAP operating margin rose to 10% from 4% in Q2. GAAP operating losses remained substantial, and a recent earnings miss and consecutive misses are risks despite a low stated miss probability; confidence also fell from high to medium.

What SentinelOne Inc hinges on

The multi-year thesis depends on sustaining growth and turning non-GAAP margin progress into reduced GAAP losses, while showing clearer delivery from AI-focused products. Near term, guidance cuts would be a negative, while lower interest rates or continued strength from major technology companies could support the sector backdrop.