Reading RHLD? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track RHLD free→Reading RHLD? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
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NYSEIndustrialsSpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral. Earnings quality is fragile. Management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent changes. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 11% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 4 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $132.03. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $132 RHLD trades at 19× p/e, below its 21× p/e peer median. Our $119 fair value sits above the price; high confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 11% of near-term growth above a flat-multiple fair value; not enough history to forecast a comparison. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 64% for the rest of the cohort, n=4882).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.03x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Industrials names rated fragile grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=3333).
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
16 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by M&A activity. Historically, Industrials names rated volatile grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=840).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$276.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$689.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $5,459.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Signal changed from 'mild_favorable' to 'mixed'.
The signal changed to mixed. Risk fell. The sector backdrop remains a headwind. Valuation is described as cheap, but recent financial performance is neutral, indicating potential weakening in earnings quality.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show how the company is doing. This could explain the current weak quality status.
Confirms one read:Earnings report shows revenue growth above 5% year over year.
Confirms the other:Earnings report shows revenue growth below 0% year over year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for RHLD yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
of this Form 8-K, including the information set forth in Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”) or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Diversified Support Services.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
RHLD Resolute Holdings Management, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 52 of 100 | full | high |
CTAS Cintas | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 83 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
CPRT Copart | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 87 of 100 | fair | elevated |
RBA RB Global | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 71 of 100 | full | moderate |
ULS UL Solutions | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 80 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Management expects fee stream and profitability to increase meaningfully in 2026.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Net income increased from -$3.4M in 2025-Q1 to $61.5M in 2026-Q1, indicating a significant improvement in profitability. This aligns with management's expectation of increased profitability in 2026, showing a positive trajectory.
“We expect our fee stream and profitability to increase meaningfully in 2026.”
Management has completed acquisitions to enhance growth and expand operations.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The company completed acquisitions, as evidenced by material agreements and asset dispositions. However, specific financial impacts from these acquisitions are not detailed in the current financials, indicating limited substantive delivery so far.
“Completion of Acquisition or Disposition of Assets.”
“Entry into a Material Agreement.”
Management is focused on effective capital allocation, including credit agreements and financial obligations.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. The company has been active in managing capital allocation through credit agreements and financial obligations. However, the financials do not yet reflect a clear impact from these activities, indicating a recurring focus with narrow delivery so far.
“Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation Under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement.”
Why it matters: Changes in monetary policy can impact the economy. This matters due to the current high-risk label.
Confirms one read:FOMC raises interest rates. This shows the economy is tightening.
Confirms the other:FOMC cuts interest rates. This shows the economy is loosening.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it could signal a turnaround for Resolute Holdings. This would help improve the company's fragile quality status.
Confirms:Revenue growth in the industrials sector rises back toward 10% year over year.
Disproves:Revenue growth remains below 5% year over year.
Entry into a Material Agreement. The information set forth under
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation Under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement. On May 7, 2026, the Company entered into a Second Amendment (the “Credit Agreement Amendment”), to the Company’s existing Credit Agreement, dated as of February 20, 2026 (as amended by that certain Incremental Amendment, dated as of March 18, 2026, the “Existing Credit Agreement,” and as amended by the Credit Agreement Amendment, the “Amended Credit Agreement”), by and among the Company, as borr…
of Form 8-K and related financial statements under Item 9.01(b) of Form 8-K, due to the requirement of the Company’s current accounting presentation that the Company’s financial statements consolidate the results of GPGI Holdings. Accordingly, this Current Report on Form 8-K/A amends the Original Report to provide the pro forma financial information required under Item 9.01(b) of Form 8-K. The historical financial information of Husky required under Item 9.01(a) was previously filed on March…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On March 18, 2026, Resolute Holdings Management, Inc., a Nevada corporation (“Resolute Holdings” or the “Company”), entered into an Incremental Amendment (the “Credit Agreement Amendment”), to the Company’s existing Credit Agreement, dated as of February 20, 2026 (the “Existing Credit Agreement,” as amended by the Credit Agreement Amendment, the “Amended Credit Agreement), by and among the Company, as borrower, the lenders party thereto, JPMorgan Ch…
“Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement.”
“Material Modification to Rights of Security Holders.”