Reading PVH? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track PVH free→Reading PVH? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track PVH free→NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel ManufacturingSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is strong, and earnings quality is robust, cash backs up reported profits. Management's recent track record has been steady, and risk is moderate. The sector backdrop is a headwind, but compared with sector peers, PVH is above typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 49% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, quality intact. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $83.28. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $83 PVH trades at 7× p/e, below its 15× p/e peer median. Our $161 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Analysts: $78–$130. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 48% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 3%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
No fragility gates fired.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated strong grew net income 70% of the time over the next year (vs 53% for the rest of the cohort, n=2844).
Over the trailing year it converted 4.46x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated robust grew net income 65% of the time over the next year (vs 49% for the rest of the cohort, n=2427).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $2.48 → $3.07 (+23.9% / 30d). 11 raised, 0 cut, 12 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 1 downgrade / 30d, 8 maintained. 50% of analysts rate Buy.
6 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 18.8% above current price.
1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
Market and fundamentals agree. Analysts are positioned bullishly on a fundamentally strong name.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$175.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$389.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $3,194.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Earnings results will provide insights into performance and future guidance. This can impact stock sentiment.
Confirms one read:Earnings per share exceeds analyst expectations by 10% or more.
Confirms the other:Earnings per share falls short of analyst expectations by 10% or more.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for PVH yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION PVH Corp. (the “Company”) issued a press release on June 3, 2026 to report the Company’s earnings for the first quarter 2026, which is attached to this report as Exhibit 99.1. The information in this Form 8-K and the Exhibit attached hereto shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by referen…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
$78.00 – $130.00 (median $94.50) · 6 analysts · as of 2026-06-05
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
PVH PVH Corp. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 74 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
NKE Nike, Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 83 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
TPR Tapestry, Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 81 of 100 | full | moderate |
RL Ralph Lauren Corporation | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 80 of 100 | full | moderate |
LULU Lululemon Athletica | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 89 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
2 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated stable grew net income 55% of the time over the next year (vs 56% for the rest of the cohort, n=483).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
PVH aims to improve operating income through strategic initiatives.
PVH is committed to maintaining strong cash flow from operations.
PVH is focused on enhancing gross profit margins through cost management.
Why it matters: Higher gross profit margins can signal better pricing power and cost control. This can enhance earnings.
Confirms:Gross profit margins increase by more than 2% year-over-year.
Disproves:Gross profit margins decline or stay flat year-over-year.
Why it matters: Negative growth in EMEA shows ongoing pressure on consumers from the Middle East conflict.
Confirms:Q2 EMEA revenue growth turns negative year over year.
Disproves:Q2 EMEA revenue growth remains positive year over year.
Why it matters: Better operating income shows management is doing well. This may help investor trust.
Confirms:Operating income increases to over $250M in Q2 2026.
Disproves:Operating income stays below $250M in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Management wants to improve operating income. This can help make more money.
Confirms:Operating income has increased by more than 5% compared to last year.
Disproves:Operating income either falls or rises less than 2% compared to last year.
Why it matters: Higher margins show good cost management and pricing power, even with tariffs.
Confirms:Operating margin is above 8.8% on a non-GAAP basis.
Disproves:Operating margin falls below 8.5% on a non-GAAP basis.
Why it matters: Strong cash flow supports ongoing investments and stability. It is key for growth.
Confirms:Cash from operations exceeds $600M in Q2 2026.
Disproves:Cash from operations falls below $600M in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Stock repurchases show confidence in financial health and help support share value.
Confirms:Announcement of at least $300 million in stock repurchases.
Disproves:No announcement of stock repurchases by the end of 2026.
Why it matters: Stable cash flow is crucial for funding operations and dividends. It shows financial health.
Confirms:Cash flow from operations stays above $100 million for two quarters in a row.
Disproves:Cash flow from operations falls below $50 million for two quarters in a row.
Why it matters: Retail sales data can indicate consumer demand. This affects PVH's sales and growth outlook.
Confirms one read:The Advance Monthly Retail Trade Report shows retail sales growth over 3% from last year.
Confirms the other:The Advance Monthly Retail Trade Report shows retail sales drop of more than 1% from last year.
Why it matters: Growth in direct sales shows strong brand strength. It also shows interest from consumers.
Confirms:Direct-to-consumer revenue grows year over year by more than 6%.
Disproves:Direct sales revenue growth is below 3% compared to last year.
Other Events. The Executive Committee of the Board of Directors of PVH Corp. (the “Company”) declared on April 29, 2026 a quarterly cash dividend of $0.0375 per share on the Company’s common stock. The dividend is payable on June 24, 2026 to stockholders of record on June 3, 2026. A press release announcing the dividend is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION PVH Corp. (the “Company”) issued a press release on March 31, 2026 to report the Company’s earnings for the fourth quarter 2025, which is attached to this report as Exhibit 99.1. The information in this Form 8-K and the Exhibit attached hereto shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by refe…
Other Events. The Executive Committee of the Board of Directors of PVH Corp. (the “Company”) declared on February 4, 2026 a quarterly cash dividend of $0.0375 per share on the Company’s common stock. The dividend is payable on March 25, 2026 to stockholders of record on March 4, 2026. A press release announcing the dividend is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference.