Lululemon Athletica (LULU)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-10-29
$109.82+4.37%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put LULU beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods is in contraction. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — EPS between $10.95 and $11.15 in 2026: Diluted EPS: $2.92 per share.
View ThesisManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet, guidance credibility.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 57% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskLululemon’s case rests on product-led growth, but weakening sales and disruptive leadership make execution uncertain. Revenue growth slowed from 4% in Q1 FY2026 to a 4% decline in Q2. Q2 GAAP earnings beat consensus, with reported EPS of $2.92 versus $1.79. The shares trade at 9.7× P/E versus a 15× peer median; expectations look modest versus our view. The specific pressure is 2026 diluted EPS of $2.92 against a stated annual range of $10.95 to $11.15. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 25%. Peer multiples imply a price about 31% above where it trades; the thesis is on watch.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. LULU is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 36 analysts currently covering LULU (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 10 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for LULU in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare LULU with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Compare now without an account. Saving and monitoring require an account.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LULU Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put LULU next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Accelerate growth by strengthening product offerings and marketing
Fabric-team restructuring and product complaints suggest quality issues, while the reported stock collapse signals investor concern.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $109.82
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $109.82.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Accelerate growth by strengthening product offerings and marketing
Product quality issues may hinder growth objectives.
Threatens: Accelerate growth by strengthening product offerings and marketing
Changes in fabric team indicate ongoing product quality concerns.
Increased competition could pressure Lululemon's market share.
Advances: Accelerate growth by strengthening product offerings and marketing
Trimming assortments can strengthen product offerings.
Leadership changes may disrupt strategic execution and growth.
Advances: Accelerate growth by strengthening product offerings and marketing
New product chief enhances product offerings and marketing.
Advances: Accelerate growth by strengthening product offerings and marketing
Leadership changes support growth strategy.