NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryFootwear & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-07-31
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Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods: fringe margins under pressure (0q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Selling and administrative expenses near $16.1 billion: metric not reported.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 0% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 36% growth a year, above the roughly 1% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 1% on a typical day and fell roughly 48% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskNike's growth depends on its ability to improve sales and manage expenses. Recent financial performance has been strong, with a notable earnings beat of 554.5% in the fourth quarter. It trades at 27× P/E, which is 1.7× the peer median of 16×. The market is pricing in more growth than expected, making it look expensive. A specific risk is the potential for a guidance cut, with an 11% miss probability. Peer multiples imply a price about 38% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. NKE is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 39 analysts currently covering NKE (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 17 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for NKE in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Threatens: Win Now actions to improve business
Sales decline in China impacts growth objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $41.71
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $41.71.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Win Now actions to improve business
China pivot may hinder growth objectives.
Insider scam undermines brand integrity and competitive position.
Counterfeit shoes threaten brand reputation and market share.
Store closures indicate struggles in maintaining growth.
Cargo theft could impact brand reputation and sales.
Threatens: Win Now actions to improve business
Limiting sales could hinder growth in a key market.
Threatens: Win Now actions to improve business
Ending distribution may hinder growth in key markets.
