Reading GIII? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track GIII free→Reading GIII? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track GIII free→NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel ManufacturingSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and earnings quality is robust, cash backs up reported profits. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, while risk is moderate and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 25% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is fair. If GIII cuts guidance on the next call, that's a meaningful negative. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $34.86. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $35 GIII trades at 15× p/e, in line with its 15× p/e peer median. Our $46 fair value reflects that, low confidence. Analysts: $38–$40. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 25% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about -7%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
No fragility gates fired.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 48% of the time over the next year (vs 64% for the rest of the cohort, n=3804).
Over the trailing year it converted 3.46x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated robust grew net income 65% of the time over the next year (vs 49% for the rest of the cohort, n=2427).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity, the US dollar.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.15 → $0.23 (+54.4% / 30d). 1 raised, 0 cut, 3 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 3 maintained. 67% of analysts rate Buy.
3 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 15.3% above current price.
0 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$122.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$296.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $1,974.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Earnings results can show if the company is getting better after buying Marc Jacobs.
Confirms:Earnings are more than 10% higher than what analysts expected.
Disproves:Earnings are more than 10% lower than what analysts expected.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for GIII yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION. On June 5, 2026, G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. (the “Company”) announced its results of operations for the first fiscal quarter ended April 30, 2026. A copy of the press release issued by the Company relating thereto is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
$38.00 – $40.00 (median $40.00) · 3 analysts · as of 2026-06-08
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
GIII G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 59 of 100 | fair | moderate |
NKE Nike, Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 81 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
TPR Tapestry, Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 81 of 100 | full | moderate |
RL Ralph Lauren Corporation | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 79 of 100 | full | moderate |
LULU Lululemon Athletica | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 90 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
6 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=646).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
The acquisition of Marc Jacobs is expected to significantly accelerate G-III's transformation into a brand-led global powerhouse.
Based on strong first quarter results, G-III has raised its earnings guidance for fiscal 2027.
G-III has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.10 per share, payable on July 8, 2026.
Focus on restructuring through the acquisition of Marc Jacobs Holdings, LLC.
Focus on managing direct financial obligations to maintain financial stability.
Why it matters: This payment shows G-III's promise to give value back to shareholders during changes.
Confirms:The company pays the declared dividend of $0.10 per share on the scheduled date.
Disproves:The company suspends or delays the dividend payment.
Why it matters: This shows if G-III can keep sales after losing Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger.
Confirms:Q2 net sales reported at or above $570 million.
Disproves:Q2 net sales fall below $570 million.
Why it matters: Managing what the company owes is important. It helps the company stay stable and grow.
Confirms:Financial obligations go down or stay the same without taking on new debt.
Disproves:Financial obligations go up a lot or new debt is taken on.
Why it matters: Closing the Marc Jacobs deal is key for G-III's growth strategy. It could reshape their brand portfolio.
Confirms:The deal will close in G-III's fiscal third quarter of 2027. All approvals are in place.
Disproves:The acquisition faces delays or fails to close by the expected date.
Why it matters: Changes in dividends show G-III's financial health. They also show G-III's commitment to shareholders.
Confirms one read:The quarterly dividend remains at $0.10 per share or increases.
Confirms the other:The quarterly dividend is cut or suspended.
Why it matters: The Marc Jacobs acquisition is key to G-III's restructuring. Its success could improve financial health.
Confirms:Look for positive financial numbers or market share growth in the next earnings report.
Disproves:Watch for continued losses or market share decline in future earnings reports.
Why it matters: The dividend payment shows the company wants to give cash back to shareholders.
Confirms:The dividend is paid as planned without any delays or changes.
Disproves:The dividend payment is canceled or cut.
OTHER EVENTS. On May 26, 2026, the Board of Directors of the Company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.10 per share in respect of the Company’s common stock (the “Dividend”). The Dividend will be paid on July 8, 2026 to all stockholders of record of issued and outstanding shares of the Company’s common stock as of June 22, 2026.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement Unit Purchase Agreement On the Signing Date, Purchaser entered into a Unit Purchase Agreement (the “Unit Purchase Agreement”) with the owners of all of the issued and outstanding units of Marc Jacobs Holdings, LLC (together, the “Sellers”) and, solely for specified sections, WH Borrower, LLC (“Purchaser Parent”), pursuant to which Purchaser agreed to purchase from Sellers all of the issued and outstanding common units of Marc Jacobs Holdings, LLC (th…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement The Compensation Committee (the “Committee”) of the Board of Directors of G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. (the “Company”) awarded performance share units (“PSUs”) pursuant to the Company’s 2023 Long-Term Incentive Plan (the “2023 Plan”), to the named executive officers of the Company (the “Named Executive Officers”) in the amounts specified in the table below. The PSUs will enable the Named Executive Officers to receive shares of our common stock if and…
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information in