Reading PLCE? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track PLCE free→Reading PLCE? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track PLCE free→NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel ManufacturingSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and the company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, but risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, PLCE is below typical. If PLCE cuts guidance on the next call, that's a meaningful negative. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $3.44. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $3.48 PLCE trades at 0× p/s, below its 1× p/s peer median. Our $11 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 69% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about -13%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
No fragility gates fired.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 0 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=2844).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.03x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates.
6 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=646).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.61 → $-0.62 (-0.6% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 0% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target -4.3% above current price.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$246.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$697.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $6,903.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: This report shows retail sales trends. It can impact consumer spending outlooks.
Confirms one read:Retail sales go up each month. This shows that people are spending more.
Confirms the other:Retail sales go down each month. This shows that people are buying less.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for PLCE yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors;Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers General Counsel and Corporate Secretary Transition (b) On May 6, 2026, Jared Shure provided notice to The Children’s Place, Inc. (the “Company”) that he will be leaving his positions as Chief Administrative Officer, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary, effective June 1, 2026. Prior to June 1, 2026, Mr. Shure will continue in his roles to ensure c…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
PLCE Children's Place Inc/The | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 7 of 100 | — | high |
NKE Nike, Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 81 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
TPR Tapestry, Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 81 of 100 | full | moderate |
RL Ralph Lauren Corporation | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 80 of 100 | full | moderate |
LULU Lululemon Athletica | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 90 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
Why it matters: The FOMC's choice on interest rates can change how much people spend and borrow.
Confirms one read:The FOMC raises rates. This shows they trust the economy and expect more spending.
Confirms the other:The FOMC cuts rates. This shows they are worried about the economy and spending.
Why it matters: GDP growth affects consumer confidence and spending. It is key for retail outlook.
Confirms one read:GDP growth is over 2%. This shows the economy is getting stronger.
Confirms the other:GDP growth is under 1%. This shows the economy is weak.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers On February 23, 2026, The Children’s Place, Inc. (the “Company”) appointed Kim Roy as Executive Director of the Company, serving as an executive officer and as a member of the Company’s board of directors (the “Board”), effective March 2, 2026. Ms. Roy will hold office as a director until the annual meeting of stockholders of the Company to be held…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On February 12, 2026, The Children’s Place, Inc. (the “Company”) announced that Claudia Lima-Guinehut, the Company’s Brand President, left the Company. Ms. Lima-Guinehut did not leave the Company as a result of any disagreement with the Company concerning the Company’s operations, policies or practices.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On November 20, 2025, the Board of Directors of The Children’s Place, Inc. (the, “Company”) removed the “interim” designation from the title and position of Muhammad Umair, and appointed him to serve as President and Chief Executive Officer of the Company. The biographical and compensation information with respect to Mr. Umair set forth in
of Form 8-K, insofar as it discloses historical information regarding the Company’s results of operations and financial condition as of and for the second quarter of Fiscal 2025. In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, such information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liability of that section…