Reading PLBY? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track PLBY free→Reading PLBY? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track PLBY free→NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryLeisureSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. The company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed. Peer multiples imply a price about 18% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening, as it is priced roughly in line with peers, but recent financials or earnings quality are weakening. Key factors to watch include the performance of sector bellwethers and any potential earnings misses. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $1.48. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $1.48 PLBY trades at 1× p/s, in line with its 1× p/s peer median. Our $1.25 fair value reflects that, medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 19% near-term growth, ahead of our forecast of about 3%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
No fragility gates fired.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 48% of the time over the next year (vs 64% for the rest of the cohort, n=3804).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.06x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
13 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated volatile grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 54% for the rest of the cohort, n=486).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.01 → $-0.00 (-149.3% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 3 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 67% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$274.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$661.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $5,572.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Retail sales data shows how much consumers are spending. This affects Playboy's revenue.
Confirms one read:Retail sales growth reported above 0.5% month over month.
Confirms the other:Retail sales decline reported or growth below 0.0% month over month.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for PLBY yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Appointment of New Independent Director On June 3, 2026, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Playboy, Inc. (the “Company”) appointed Jennifer Cabalquinto to the Board, as a new, non-employee, independent Class I director. As a result of the appointment of Ms. Cabalquinto, the Board is currently comprised of seven directors, four of whom the Boa…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Leisure Products.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
PLBY Playboy Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 0 of 100 | full | high |
HAS Hasbro | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 69 of 100 | fair | moderate |
GOLF Acushnet Company | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 70 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
BC Brunswick | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 23 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
MAT Mattel | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 64 of 100 | fair | elevated |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on forming strategic partnerships and joint ventures to expand market presence.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Playboy has focused on strategic partnerships, including a joint venture with UTG. However, revenue declined from $34.9M in 2025-Q4 to $30.2M in 2026-Q1, indicating limited progress in financial impact so far.
“Playboy entered into a share purchase agreement with UTG for a joint venture.”
“Playboy announced a joint venture relationship and entry into the Purchase Agreement.”
Emphasize cost management and operational efficiency to improve financial performance.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Despite management's focus on cost management, operating income declined from $2.7M in 2025-Q4 to -$1.6M in 2026-Q1, indicating limited progress in achieving efficiency improvements.
Engage in mergers and acquisitions to drive growth and expand business operations.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Playboy has been active in M&A, completing an acquisition and entering into agreements. However, revenue decreased from $34.9M in 2025-Q4 to $30.2M in 2026-Q1, showing limited immediate growth impact.
“Playboy completed an acquisition and entered into a material definitive agreement.”
Why it matters: Changes in interest rates can change how much consumers spend and borrow. This affects Playboy's revenue.
Confirms one read:The FOMC raises interest rates. This shows the economy is getting stronger.
Confirms the other:FOMC cuts rates or keeps them unchanged amid economic concerns.
of this Report, including Exhibit 99.1, attached hereto, is furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Exchange Act or Securities Act of 1933, as amended, expect as expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Amendment of Miami Beach Lease Agreement On May 14, 2026, Playboy Enterprises, Inc. (“PEI”), a Delaware corporation and a wholly-owned subsidiary of Playboy, Inc. (the “Company”), entered into an Amendment to Lease Agreement (the “Lease Amendment”) with RK Rivani LLC, a Florida limited liability company (the “Landlord”), which amends that certain lease agreement entered into by PEI and the Landlord, on August 11, 2025 (the “Original Lease”), for the…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On April 10, 2026, Playboy, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into a retention agreement with each of its named executive officers: Ben Kohn, Chief Executive Officer and President; Marc Crossman, Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer; Chris Riley, General Counsel and Secretary; and David Miller, President, Playboy, Media & Brand (collectiv…
Changes in Registrant’s Certifying Accountant. On March 26, 2026, Playboy, Inc. (the “Company”), following the prior approval of the Audit Committee of the Board of Directors of the Company (the “Audit Committee”), notified BDO USA, P.C. (“BDO”) that it had been dismissed as the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm, as of March 26, 2026. On March 31, 2026, following the prior approval of the Audit Committee, the Company engaged RSM US LLP (“RSM”) as the Company’s independen…
“CFO highlighted the importance of cost management and efficiency improvements.”
“Focus on cost management to improve margins.”
“Continued emphasis on operational efficiency.”
“Playboy announced the completion of an acquisition.”