PulteGroup (PHM)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryResidential ConstructionSnapshot 2026-10-29
$124.36+3.88%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryResidential ConstructionSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put PHM beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Maintain strong cash flow through asset management: Cash from operations: $460.16M.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look high — what the market is pricing in runs ahead of what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskPHM’s case rests on developing land for community growth, despite slowing revenue. Revenue fell 9% in Q3 2026, and earnings missed expectations. PHM trades at 12.8× P/E versus 15.2× for peers. The market prices in more growth than our forecast. Reported profits are not well backed by cash. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability at 22%. Peer multiples imply a price about 16% below where it trades. The thesis is on watch; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. PHM is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 18 analysts currently covering PHM (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 11 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for PHM in the last 4 months.
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Compare PHM with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHM Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Homebuilding — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put PHM next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Develop land pipeline to support community growth
Unsold-home reductions may ease inventory, but land spending pressures cash and complicates pipeline growth.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $124.36
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $124.36.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Develop land pipeline for community growth
Planned $5.3B land investment supports community growth, alongside projected 27,000–27,500 closings.
An earnings and revenue miss is a meaningful performance headwind, but not enough to break the thesis.
Regulatory scrutiny could impact housing development plans.
FICO score changes could weaken competitive advantage.
Advances: Develop land pipeline for community growth
New community development aligns with land pipeline growth objective.
Advances: Maintain strong cash flows
Highlights cash flow strength supporting management's objectives.
Threatens: Develop land pipeline for community growth
Ending mortgage monopoly may hinder community growth plans.
