NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryResidential ConstructionSnapshot 2026-07-31
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Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Manage impact of macroeconomic headwinds on revenue growth: metric not reported.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 4% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks among the strongest in its industry on quality — around the top 20%.
View QualityManagement screens strong on earnings delivery, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskD.R. Horton (DHI) must increase revenue to $33.5-$34.5 billion in fiscal 2026 to justify its current valuation. Revenue grew 1% year over year, and the latest earnings beat by $0.23 supports this growth claim. DHI trades at 14× P/E versus a peer median of 16×, indicating that the price reflects less growth than forecasted. The primary risk is the potential for a guidance cut, with a 16% probability of missing outlooks, which could pressure revenue targets. Peer multiples imply a price about 7% above where it trades. The thesis is on watch due to the primary pillar being under pressure.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. DHI is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 19 analysts currently covering DHI (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 4 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for DHI in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Homebuilding — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Advances: Increase consolidated revenues to $32.5-$33.0 billion in fiscal 2026
Better execution supports revenue growth objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $143.06
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $143.06.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Increase consolidated revenues to $32.5-$33.0 billion in fiscal 2026
Sluggish outlook may hinder revenue growth targets.
Buyer hesitation could impact home closings.
Rating downgrade suggests potential revenue concerns.
Layoffs may reduce housing demand, impacting revenue growth.
Threatens: Increase revenue to $33.5-$34.5 billion
Lower revenue forecast impacts growth objective.
Threatens: Increase revenue to $33.5-$34.5 billion
Flat sales lead to lowered revenue guidance.
Advances: Increase revenue to $33.5-$34.5 billion
Earnings beat and revenue above estimates support growth.
