D. R. Horton (DHI)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryResidential ConstructionSnapshot 2026-10-29
$146.53+2.47%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryResidential ConstructionSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put DHI beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Manage impact of macroeconomic headwinds on revenue growth: Direct metric needs a verified mapping.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 4% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on earnings delivery.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskD.R. Horton depends on resilient homebuilding earnings, though recent financial performance has weakened. Revenue growth slowed from 1% to a 3% decline year over year, alongside a latest-quarter earnings miss. DHI trades at 13.9× P/E versus a 15.2× peer median and its 13.6× historical multiple. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, despite the recent revenue decline. Fragile cash backing and the latest miss challenge confidence; our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 18%. Peer multiples imply a price about 3% above where it trades; the thesis is on watch, and this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. DHI is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 21 analysts currently covering DHI (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 6 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for DHI in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DHI Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Homebuilding — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put DHI next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Increase consolidated revenues to $32.5-$33.0 billion in fiscal 2026
Fiscal 2027 revenue outlook signals rate-driven pressure, though it does not directly revise fiscal 2026 targets.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $146.53
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $146.53.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Complete 83,800 to 84,300 home closings in fiscal 2026
Fewer expected closings and an earnings miss threaten the fiscal 2026 home-closing objective.
Threatens: Complete 83,800 to 84,300 home closings in fiscal 2026
Profit decline attributed to mortgage rates signals affordability pressure that could weigh on closings.
Disappointing quarterly results and FY2027 guidance signal weaker operating expectations.
Earnings miss despite revenue beat indicates margin or cost pressure against operating goals.
Higher rates could reduce homebuyer demand and closings.
Advances: Return approximately $2.5 billion to shareholders via share repurchases in fisc…
Increases shareholder returns, aligning with capital allocation goals.
Advances: Increase consolidated revenues to $32.5-$33.0 billion in fiscal 2026
Better execution supports revenue growth objectives.
