NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-10-29
$213.66-0.80%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put NVDA beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Semiconductors is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 83% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks among the strongest in its industry on quality — around the top 19%.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskHealthy across the board
NVDA’s AI and data center business must keep compounding to support its valuation. Revenue growth accelerated from 85% to 106% year over year, with both quarters beating. It trades at 31 times P/E versus the 56 times peer median. The desk says expectations look modest versus its growth view. The risk is weaker cash backing for reported profits, alongside scrutiny of AI demand funded by Nvidia investments. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 10%. Peer multiples imply a price about 4% below where it trades; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. NVDA is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 62 analysts currently covering NVDA (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 21 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for NVDA in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare NVDA with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Semiconductors — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put NVDA next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Expand strategic partnerships and collaborations
Reported backing of a British AI company expands strategic ties and supports data-center demand.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $213.66
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $213.66.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Expand strategic partnerships and collaborations
Huang's Kazakhstan AI-hub comments signal potential regional collaboration, but no concrete agreement is stated.
China export-control fallout could constrain access to a strategically important AI market.
Advances: Expand AI and Data Center capabilities
Microsoft announcement is framed as shareholder-positive, suggesting a meaningful customer or product tailwind.
Threatens: Expand AI and Data Center capabilities
AI financing contagion could pressure demand, customer funding, or confidence in data-center investment.
Alleged information transfer to China raises potential security and regulatory risks.
Advances: Expand AI and Data Center capabilities
Reported chip-financing plans signal demand for NVIDIA's next-generation AI hardware.
Advances: Expand strategic partnerships and collaborations
Reported Nscale credit support could enable a strategic AI infrastructure partnership.
