Marvell Technology, Inc. (MRVL)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-10-29
$218.34-13.24%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put MRVL beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Semiconductors is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 48% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskMarvell’s AI and data center revenue growth must keep compounding to support its premium valuation. Q2 FY2027 revenue grew 37% year over year, and non-GAAP earnings beat consensus. The shares trade at 73× P/E versus a 56× peer median and 79× historical multiple. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, yet the premium still requires delivery. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability at 18%. A sharp single-session drop signals possible repricing, though the standing thesis remains intact. Peer multiples imply a price about 36% below where it trades; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. MRVL is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 49 analysts currently covering MRVL (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 21 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for MRVL in the last 4 months.
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Compare MRVL with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRVL Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Semiconductors — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put MRVL next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Potential optics acquisition could support data-center growth, but talks are unconfirmed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $218.34
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $218.34.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Reported Lumentum talks could expand optical capabilities; no confirmed deal or terms.
Downgrade suggests potential revenue growth concerns.
Advances: Drive strong revenue growth with AI and data center focus
AI focus aligns with revenue growth target.
Advances: Drive strong revenue growth with AI and data center focus
Positive feedback supports revenue growth focus.
Advances: Drive strong revenue growth with AI and data center focus
Bullish outlook aligns with revenue growth objectives.
Advances: Drive strong revenue growth with AI and data center focus
Custom AI chip shipments align with revenue growth objectives.
Expanded deal supports revenue growth and strategic partnerships.
