Qualcomm (QCOM)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-15
$187.80+4.25%
Close 2026-09-15 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-15
Research Workspace
Put QCOM beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Semiconductors is in supercycle. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Maintain EPS guidance near $2.2 for 2026 Q2: EPS guidance $1.22-$1.42 vs target $2.1-$2.3.
View ThesisRevenue growth is slowing — up about 2% over the past year and decelerating.
View GrowthRanks among the strongest in its industry on quality — around the top 13%.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 41% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskQualcomm's growth in non-handset revenue must continue to justify its current price. Revenue expectations are supported by a recent earnings beat, with a year-over-year revenue decline of 4%. The stock trades at 18× P/E versus a peer median of 48×, indicating that the price reflects less growth than we forecast. The primary risk is a potential guidance cut, with a 14% probability of a miss in the next quarter. Peer multiples imply a price about 7% above where it trades.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-15. QCOM is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 37 analysts currently covering QCOM (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 16 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for QCOM in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare QCOM with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Free account required to save the handoff. No credit card.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QCOM Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-15. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Semiconductors — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put QCOM next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Execute growth strategy with focus on non-handset revenue expansion
Market awareness may limit growth in non-handset revenue.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-15. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $187.80
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $187.80.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Execute growth strategy with focus on non-handset revenue expansion
Amazon's potential purchase supports non-handset revenue growth.
Advances: Execute growth strategy with focus on non-handset revenue expansion
AI partnership aligns with growth strategy in data centers.
Advances: Execute growth strategy with focus on non-handset revenue expansion
Amazon's deal validates Qualcomm's AI strategy and chip demand.
Shrinking revenue raises concerns about maintaining EPS guidance.
Threatens: Execute growth strategy with focus on non-handset revenue expansion
Loss of a major client impacts non-handset revenue growth.
Threatens: Execute growth strategy with focus on non-handset revenue expansion
Loss of Apple impacts non-handset revenue growth strategy.
Positive outlook on growth cycle supports investment thesis.
