NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-10-29
$259.61-2.40%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put NXPI beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Semiconductors is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Revenue growth at or above $3.45B next quarter: Revenue: $3.79B.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 15% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 2% a day.
View RiskNXP’s software-defined vehicle growth depends on revenue growth continuing to accelerate. Revenue growth rose from 12% to 19%, with the latest quarter beating estimates. NXPI trades at 20× P/E (price-to-earnings) versus a 56× peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, despite strong recent results. The specific risk is fragile earnings quality: reported profits are not well backed by cash. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 18%. peer multiples imply a price about 21% above where it trades; the thesis is on watch.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. NXPI is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 31 analysts currently covering NXPI (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 8 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for NXPI in the last 4 months.
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Compare NXPI with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NXPI Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Semiconductors — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put NXPI next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Return capital through repurchases and dividends
Revenue outlook, 2027 margin target, and expanded buyback support growth, margin, and capital-return objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $259.61
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $259.61.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Drive growth through AI and software-defined vehicles
Reported reaffirmation of an ambitious EPS goal supports growth, though the stock drop is not thesis evidence.
Advances: Navigate challenging market conditions
Automotive and industrial profit growth supports demand resilience, though the headline gives limited evidence on durability.
Threatens: Navigate challenging market conditions
Tepid revenue guidance signals near-term demand weakness and challenges growth through difficult markets.
Threatens: Navigate challenging market conditions
Weak fourth-quarter guidance points to a near-term growth headwind, but does not break the long-term thesis.
Advances: Drive growth through AI and software-defined vehicles
Volkswagen partnership supports NXP’s software-defined vehicle growth objective, though financial impact is unspecified.
Advances: Drive growth through AI and software-defined vehicles
Strategic VW pact supports software-defined vehicle adoption and automotive growth.
Advances: Drive growth through AI and software-defined vehicles
VW vehicle-chip partnership supports automotive growth and software-defined vehicle strategy.
