NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-07-31
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Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Semiconductors is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — AI-driven business revenue growth: revenue +25% vs 14%.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 7% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 32%, softest on share dilution.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 4% on a typical day and fell roughly 42% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskIntel's AI-driven business revenue growth must continue to justify its current price. Revenue grew 25% year over year, and the last quarter beat expectations. It trades at 8.2× price-to-sales versus an 8.7× peer median, indicating it looks expensive. If Intel cuts guidance on the next call, it could negatively impact the stock. Peer multiples imply a price about 15% below where it trades.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. INTC is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 49 analysts currently covering INTC (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 27 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for INTC in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Semiconductors — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Threatens: Ramp Intel 18A production and improve foundry yields
TSMC's actions could hinder Intel's production ramp efforts.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $90.20
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $90.20.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Best revenue growth supports AI-driven business expansion.
TSMC's advancements could threaten Intel's foundry objectives.
Foundry bill could impact cost discipline and expenses.
AI demand aligns with management's growth objectives.
Threatens: Drive cost discipline and reduce operating expenses
Spending plan concerns could hinder cost discipline efforts.
Partnership enhances Intel's position in AI-driven businesses.
Partnership enhances Intel's technology and market position.
