NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-07-31
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Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Semiconductors is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — EPS rises to $1.91 in Q2 2026: EPS guidance mid $1.91 vs target $1.91.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 17% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, guidance credibility.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 2% a day.
View RiskTexas Instruments' growth in analog demand must continue to support its valuation. Revenue increased by 23% year over year, and the company beat earnings expectations with an EPS of $2.14 in Q2 2026. It trades at 42× P/E versus a peer median of 49×, indicating that the price reflects less growth than forecasted. A specific risk is the potential for TXN to cut guidance on the next call, with a miss probability of 11%. Peer multiples imply a price about 7% below where it trades, suggesting it looks expensive on this basis.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. TXN is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 36 analysts currently covering TXN (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 18 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for TXN in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Semiconductors — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Advances: Increase revenue and earnings per share
AI demand supports revenue and earnings growth objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $275.74
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $275.74.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Increase revenue and earnings per share
Data center growth supports revenue and earnings objectives.
Strong Q2 performance supports revenue growth objectives.
Advances: Increase revenue in Q2 2026
Q3 revenue forecast supports growth objective.
Advances: Increase revenue and earnings per share
Upbeat revenue forecast indicates strong demand.
Advances: Enhance EPS in Q2 2026
Earnings beat enhances EPS growth outlook.
Advances: Enhance EPS in Q2 2026
Earnings call highlights indicate EPS enhancement.
Threatens: Enhance EPS in Q2 2026
Shares fall despite earnings beat raises concerns.
