Texas Instruments (TXN)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-10-30
$300.84-3.87%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put TXN beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Semiconductors is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — EPS rises to $1.91 in Q2 2026: Diluted EPS: $2.62 per share.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 20% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, margins, the balance sheet, guidance credibility.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 2% a day.
View RiskTXN’s data-center growth must sustain rising revenue and earnings, though reported profits remain weakly backed by cash. Revenue growth accelerated from 19% to 28% year over year; Q3 EPS beat estimates. TXN trades at 39× earnings versus a 53× peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, leaving the premium dependent on execution. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 14%. Weak cash backing and the 14% premium over the peer median could pressure the thesis. Peer multiples imply a price about 19% below where it trades; the thesis is on watch.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. TXN is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 38 analysts currently covering TXN (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 15 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for TXN in the last 4 months.
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Compare TXN with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXN Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Semiconductors — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put TXN next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Grow revenue across end markets
Earnings beat and strong analog and data-center demand support revenue growth across end markets.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $300.84
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $300.84.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Grow revenue across end markets
Above-consensus guidance and AI-driven analog demand support revenue growth across end markets.
Advances: Invest in manufacturing capacity and 300mm production
Lower capex may improve cash generation, though it could temper manufacturing investment.
Advances: Grow revenue across end markets
Quarterly sales above estimates signal stronger demand and revenue performance.
Advances: Grow revenue across end markets
Earnings and revenue topping estimates support the revenue-growth objective.
Advances: Grow revenue across end markets
Higher profit and revenue provide concrete evidence of improving business performance.
Advances: Grow revenue across end markets
Estimate-beating results and lifted outlook indicate robust demand and improving growth.
Advances: Grow revenue across end markets
Results and guidance above estimates confirm stronger near-term revenue momentum.
