NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-07-15
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-07-16. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $207 NVDA trades at 36× p/e, below its 52× p/e peer median, but our blended $211 fair value is roughly in line with the price. It's a high-confidence read. Analysts target $139–$500. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $300.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $188.19 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $188.93 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| graham number | 12M | $32.45 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$139.00 – $500.00 (median $300.00) · 28 analysts · as of 2026-07-14
Only weak execution quality, a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 149% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 2.0 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $5.33/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3, 2027-Q1
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $116.44 |
| 19.9 |
| 5.85 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $249.74 | 51.2 | 4.88 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $324.96 | 30.4 | 10.70 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $98.43 | 9.5 | 10.39 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $132.20 | 22.6 | 5.84 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $27.50 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $243.83 | 41.8 | 5.84 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $318.45 | 52.3 | 6.09 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $429.76 | 30.4 | 14.15 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $265.49 | 9.5 | 28.03 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $201.06 | 22.6 | 8.88 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $370.83 | 41.8 | 8.88 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $568.36 | 30.4 | 18.71 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $351.11 | 9.5 | 37.07 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $265.90 | 22.6 | 11.75 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $490.42 | 41.8 | 11.75 | Analyst | high |
