Reading LIVE? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track LIVE free→Reading LIVE? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track LIVE free→NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryHome Improvement RetailSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and management's recent track record has been fairly steady. Earnings quality is robust, cash backs up reported profits, while risk is high and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 85% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, quality intact, as it trades below peer multiples and the recent financials and earnings quality are not flashing deterioration. If LIVE cuts guidance on the next call, that's a meaningful negative. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $9.01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $9.01 LIVE trades at 1× p/e, below its 15× p/e peer median. Our $56 fair value sits above the price; medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price sits about 84% below a flat-multiple fair value; not enough history to forecast a comparison. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
No fragility gates fired.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 0 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 48% of the time over the next year (vs 64% for the rest of the cohort, n=3804).
Over the trailing year it converted 6.74x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated robust grew net income 65% of the time over the next year (vs 49% for the rest of the cohort, n=2427).
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the broad stock market, the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
2 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=646).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 0% of the last 1 guided quarters · -96.2% avg surprise
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$349.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$822.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $5,728.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show how the company is doing and what management thinks.
Confirms one read:The earnings report shows better results and guidance than expected.
Confirms the other:The earnings report shows worse results and guidance than expected.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for LIVE yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 14, 2026, Live Ventures Incorporated issued a press release announcing its financial results for its fiscal second quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. The information in this report (including Exhibit 99.1) is being furnished pursuant to
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Consumer Discretionary (broad).
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
LIVE Live Ventures Inc | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 35 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
AMZN Amazon | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 84 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 25 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
HD Home Depot (The) | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 56 of 100 | full | moderate |
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd | — | — | elevated |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on enhancing operating income through cost management and revenue growth.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Operating income declined from $3.45M in 2026-Q1 to -$2.01M in 2026-Q2, indicating limited progress in improving profitability. Despite management's focus, the trajectory shows challenges in achieving this priority.
“CFO: 'We are committed to improving our operating income despite recent challenges.'”
“CFO: 'Operating income remains a key focus as we navigate market conditions.'”
“CFO: 'Our strategy includes enhancing operating income through efficiency.'”
Aim to increase cash flow from operations through strategic initiatives.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Cash flow from operations decreased from $9.85M in 2026-Q1 to -$2.79M in 2026-Q2, showing a negative trend. Despite management's emphasis, the trajectory indicates challenges in enhancing cash flow.
Focus on driving revenue growth through strategic initiatives and market expansion.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue decreased from $108.54M in 2026-Q1 to $102.90M in 2026-Q2, indicating a decline. Despite management's focus on growth, the trajectory shows challenges in achieving revenue increases.
Why it matters: FOMC decisions can change interest rates and how consumers spend money.
Confirms one read:FOMC statement indicates a pause or cut in interest rates.
Confirms the other:The FOMC statement shows that interest rates will go up.
Why it matters: If revenue grows, it may show a recovery in the weak consumer sector.
Confirms:Q2 revenue growth reported above 0% year over year.
Disproves:Q2 revenue growth reported below 0% year over year.
Why it matters: Retail sales data will show how much consumers are spending. This affects the sector.
Confirms one read:Retail sales report shows growth above 1% month over month.
Confirms the other:Retail sales report shows decline below -1% month over month.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers On March 31, 2026, pursuant to a written consent of the Compensation Committee of the Board of Directors of Live Ventures Incorporated (the “Company”), Vintage Stock Inc. (“Vintage Stock”), an indirect, wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company, entered into a Third Amendment (the “Third Amendment”) to the Employment Agreement, as previously amended (t…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 12, 2026, Live Ventures Incorporated issued a press release announcing its financial results for its fiscal first quarter ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. The information in this report (including Exhibit 99.1) is being furnished pursuant to
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On December 11, 2025, Live Ventures Incorporated issued a press release announcing its financial results for its fiscal year ended September 30, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. The information in this report (including Exhibit 99.1) is being furnished pursuant to
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 7, 2025, Live Ventures Incorporated issued a press release announcing its financial results for its fiscal first quarter ended June 30, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. The information in this report (including Exhibit 99.1) is being furnished pursuant to
“CEO: 'Enhancing cash flow from operations is a critical objective for us.'”
“CEO: 'We are focused on improving cash flow from operations.'”
“CEO: 'Cash flow from operations remains a priority.'”
“CEO: 'Revenue growth remains a top priority as we expand our market presence.'”
“CEO: 'We are committed to driving revenue growth through strategic initiatives.'”
“CEO: 'Our focus is on increasing revenue through market expansion.'”