Reading HAIN? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track HAIN free→Reading HAIN? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track HAIN free→
NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, but risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, with HAIN trading below typical for its sector peers. Peer multiples imply a price about 89% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk, as it trades below peer multiples while recent financials are weak. Key factors to watch include the performance of sector bellwethers like KHC, GIS, and HRL, as their earnings guidance could influence HAIN's momentum. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $0.59. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $0.59 HAIN trades at 0× p/s, below its 1× p/s peer median. Our $5.56 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 89% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about -11%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
No fragility gates fired.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Staples names rated weak grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 58% for the rest of the cohort, n=1144).
Over the trailing year it converted -0.19x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the broad stock market, the US dollar, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity.
7 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Consumer Staples names rated neutral grew net income 50% of the time over the next year (vs 48% for the rest of the cohort, n=491).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.02 → $-0.03 (-38.0% / 30d). 2 raised, 2 cut, 4 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 17% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$395.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$797.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $7,302.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: This report may change how much consumers spend. It could affect Hain's sales.
Confirms one read:Retail sales rise by more than 0.5% each month. This shows stronger consumer spending.
Confirms the other:Retail sales drop by more than 0.5% each month. This signals weaker consumer demand.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for HAIN yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, or incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Packaged Foods & Meats.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
HAIN Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (The) | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 29 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
MDLZ Mondelez International | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 46 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
HSY Hershey Company (The) | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 90 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
KHC Kraft Heinz | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 92 of 100 | fair | moderate |
TSN Tyson Foods | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 78 of 100 | fair | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLP
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Conduct a comprehensive review of the company's portfolio to enhance shareholder value.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The company has been focusing on a comprehensive review of its portfolio to explore strategic options. However, financial performance has been challenging, with revenue declining from $411.5M in 2025-Q2 to $338.4M in 2026-Q3, indicating limited progress in enhancing shareholder value so far.
“The Board initiated a comprehensive review of the Company’s portfolio.”
“The Board had initiated a comprehensive review of the Company’s portfolio.”
Complete the divestiture of the North American Snacks business to Snackruptors Inc.
Newly stated in 2026-Q2. The company announced the divestiture of its North American Snacks business to Snackruptors Inc. This strategic move aims to streamline operations and focus on core areas. However, the financials show a decline in revenue from $384.1M in 2026-Q2 to $338.4M in 2026-Q3, suggesting the divestiture's impact on financial improvement is yet to be realized.
Take necessary actions to comply with Nasdaq's minimum bid price requirement for continued listing.
Newly stated in 2026-Q2. The company is addressing compliance issues with Nasdaq's minimum bid price requirement. Despite this regulatory challenge, the financials show a continued decline in net income from -$103.98M in 2025-Q2 to -$106.34M in 2026-Q3, indicating ongoing financial difficulties.
“The company received a letter from Nasdaq regarding non-compliance.”
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. As previously disclosed on May 7, 2025, The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (the “Company”) announced that its Board of Directors (the “Board”) had initiated a comprehensive review of the Company’s portfolio, considering a broad range of strategic options to enhance shareholder value. In connection with this strategic review process, effective on April…
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. On March 24, 2026, The Hain Celestial Group, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), received a letter from the Listing Qualifications Staff (the “Nasdaq Staff”) of The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC (“Nasdaq”) informing the Company that its common stock, par value $.01 per share (the “Common Stock”), failed to comply with the minimum bid price required for continued listing on The Nasdaq Globa…
Completion of Acquisition or Disposition of Assets. As previously disclosed on a Current Report on Form 8-K filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) by The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (“Hain”) on February 2, 2026, Hain entered into an asset purchase agreement with Snackruptors Inc. (“Snackruptors”) dated as of January 30, 2026 (the “Purchase Agreement”) pursuant to which Snackruptors agreed to acquire from Hain its North American Snacks business, including Garden Vegg…
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, or incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
“Hain entered into an asset purchase agreement with Snackruptors.”