Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (The) (HAIN)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-09-09
$0.64-5.76%
Close 2026-09-09 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-09-09
Warn: Primary pillar under pressure — Comply with Nasdaq minimum bid price to avoid delisting: Bid $0.64 vs $1.00 target.
Hain Celestial aims to improve with a $40M free cash flow target for FY25. The company plans to raise gross margin to 21.5% next year. It is working on divesting its North American Snacks business. A strategic portfolio review is underway to enhance value.
Hain is loss-making with EPS guided at -$5.89 for FY25. Revenue is expected to shrink about 21% next year. The stock has fallen 36% from its high and faces Nasdaq listing risks. Earnings misses and delisting notices show ongoing struggles.
The market expects about 21% revenue decline and continued losses. Our fair value at $5.58 reflects these challenges. The stock price has dropped sharply, pricing in a difficult turnaround with elevated risk.
Breaks if: Free cash flow falls below $20 million in FY25
Breaks if: Gross margin falls below 18% in FY25
Breaks if: Failure to meet Nasdaq minimum bid price by end 2026
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This is a turnaround investment thesis with a medium confidence level. HAIN is currently loss-making and has shown weak recent financial performance, which raises concerns about its ability to recover in the near term.
The market appears to have priced in a justified valuation, indicating that HAIN is seen as cheap compared to its peers. However, there is a significant expectations gap, suggesting that the market is not anticipating strong performance improvements.
Fundamentals are likely to remain under pressure given the high probability of an earnings miss in the next quarter. The company's recent performance has been weak, and it has faced challenges such as a legal/regulatory event and an earnings miss.
The thesis hinges on several key factors, including the potential for HAIN to cut guidance, which would negatively impact sentiment. Additionally, a reacceleration of inflation or positive earnings from sector leaders could provide a favorable tailwind for HAIN.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Our read on the company is unchanged since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-09-09
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Take necessary actions to comply with Nasdaq's minimum bid price requirement for continued listing.
Breaks if: Divestiture not completed by end of 2026
Complete the divestiture of the North American Snacks business to Snackruptors Inc.
Overall, HAIN's situation is precarious, with significant risks and mixed management priorities. The next few months will be critical in determining its trajectory. Not investment advice.