NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto PartsSnapshot 2026-07-31
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Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Achieve sales growth of 3% to 5.5% in FY26: rev +6.0% vs 3%.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 5% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 43%, softest on returns on capital.
View QualityManagement screens strong on earnings delivery, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskGenuine Parts (GPC) aims for steady growth through its separation strategy and sales targets. The company recently beat earnings expectations, reporting a revenue increase of 6% year over year. It trades at 17× P/E, slightly above the peer median of 16×. This suggests the price reflects modest growth expectations compared to its potential. A specific risk is the 22% chance of missing earnings guidance in the next quarter. Peer multiples imply a price about 8% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. GPC is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 10 analysts currently covering GPC (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 4 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for GPC in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Consumer Discretionary (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Threatens: Achieve total sales growth of 3% to 5.5% in 2026
Lowered EPS guidance impacts sales growth expectations.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $124.37
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $124.37.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Complete planned separation of Global Automotive and Industrial
Earnings dip may hinder planned separation execution.
Threatens: Achieve total sales growth of 3% to 5.5% in 2026
Margin concerns could hinder sales growth objectives.
Advances: Establish EPS guidance of $6.1 to $6.6
New EPS guidance exceeds previous targets, enhancing growth outlook.
Advances: Achieve sales growth of 3% to 5.5%
Sales beat supports growth target of 3% to 5.5%.
Advances: Establish EPS guidance of $6.1 to $6.6
Earnings beat suggests potential for higher EPS guidance.
O'Reilly's bid may intensify competitive pressures.
Advances: Separation of Global Automotive and Industrial
Separation aligns with growth strategy and could enhance focus.
