Genuine Parts Company (GPC)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-10-29
$122.39+0.82%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put GPC beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Maintain free cash flow between $550M and $700M in FY26: Free cash flow guidance: $550M to $700M.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 5% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 1% on a typical day and fell roughly 37% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskGPC’s planned Automotive and Industrial separation anchors the thesis, but revenue growth is slowing. Revenue growth eased from 6.8% in Q1 to 4.2% in Q3, which missed EPS consensus. GPC trades at 16× P/E versus a 15× peer median and its 17× historical multiple. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, despite the recent slowdown. Fragile cash backing and the FY26 free cash flow guidance pillar under pressure threaten the case. Our model puts next-quarter miss probability near 33%. Peer multiples imply a price about 5% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the thesis is on watch, and this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. GPC is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 11 analysts currently covering GPC (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 6 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for GPC in the last 4 months.
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Compare GPC with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPC Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Consumer Discretionary (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put GPC next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Complete planned separation of Global Automotive and Industrial
Spinoff aligns with planned separation of Global Automotive and Industrial.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $122.39
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $122.39.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Complete planned separation of Global Automotive and Industrial
Supports planned separation of Global Automotive and Industrial.
Advances: Complete planned separation of Global Automotive and Industrial
Leadership announcement supports planned separation of Global Automotive and Industrial.
Advances: Increase quarterly cash dividend
Dividend raise supports capital allocation objectives.
Advances: Increase quarterly cash dividend
Dividend hike supports capital allocation and growth objectives.
Threatens: Achieve total sales growth of 3% to 5.5% in 2026
Lowered EPS guidance impacts sales growth expectations.
Threatens: Complete planned separation of Global Automotive and Industrial
Earnings dip may hinder planned separation execution.
Threatens: Achieve total sales growth of 3% to 5.5% in 2026
Margin concerns could hinder sales growth objectives.
