Reading ELA? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ELA free→Reading ELA? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ELA free→AMEXConsumer DiscretionaryLuxury GoodsSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is strong, but earnings quality is fragile, indicating that reported profits may not be well-supported by cash flow. Management's recent track record has been steady, and it has taken capital-friendly actions. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, with ELA trading above typical levels compared to its peers. Peer multiples imply a price about 144% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is rich, as it trades above peer multiples, and the longer horizon does not make that back through growth. This analysis is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 5 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $26.22. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $27 ELA trades at 39× p/e — 2.5× the 15× p/e peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $11 fair value is low-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 150% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about 35%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Flags: expensive valuation, weak execution quality.
For similar setups historically (n=2,301): about 43% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 77% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 3 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated strong grew net income 70% of the time over the next year (vs 53% for the rest of the cohort, n=2844).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.08x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated fragile grew net income 45% of the time over the next year (vs 58% for the rest of the cohort, n=2427).
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.11 → $0.12 (+9.1% / 30d). 0 raised, 0 cut, 2 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target -29.0% above current price.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$209.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$547.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $2,177.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Retail sales data can show how consumer spending is changing. This affects Envela's revenue.
Confirms one read:Retail sales increase above 0.5% month over month.
Confirms the other:Retail sales decrease or grow less than 0.5% month over month.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for ELA yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Other Events. On April 9, 2026, the Board of Directors of Envela Corporation, a Nevada corporation (the “Company”), authorized the extension of the expiration date of the Company’s existing stock repurchase plan (the “Repurchase Plan”) from March 31, 2026 to March 31, 2028. All other terms and conditions of the Repurchase Plan remain unchanged. Under the Repurchase Plan, the Company is authorized to repurchase up to an aggregate of 1,100,000 shares of the Company’s common stock. Repurchases…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
ELA Envela Corp. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 85 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
NKE Nike, Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 81 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
TPR Tapestry, Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 81 of 100 | full | moderate |
RL Ralph Lauren Corporation | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 80 of 100 | full | moderate |
LULU Lululemon Athletica | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 90 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
4 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated stable grew net income 55% of the time over the next year (vs 56% for the rest of the cohort, n=483).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
The Board extended the expiration date of the stock repurchase plan to March 31, 2028.
Focus on increasing revenue, which grew significantly in recent quarters.
Continue efforts to enhance operating income, which has shown improvement.
Why it matters: GDP growth affects consumer confidence and spending. This can influence Envela's sales.
Confirms one read:GDP growth reported above 2% for Q1 2026.
Confirms the other:GDP growth reported below 2% for Q1 2026.
Why it matters: FOMC decisions change interest rates. This affects how much people spend. It can impact Envela's market.
Confirms one read:FOMC raises interest rates by 25 basis points or more.
Confirms the other:FOMC keeps interest rates unchanged or lowers them.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers. As reported previously on Envela Corporation’s (the “Company”) Form 8-K filed July 7, 2025, Vince A. Ackerson was elected to the Board of Directors to serve until next meeting, to be effective July 14, 2025. On July 14, 2025, Mr. Ackerson assumed his position as an independent director. Mr. Ackerson will serve as an independent director with a term expiring at the Company's Annual Meeting of…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers. On June 25, 2025, Envela Corporation (the “Company”) held its 2025 annual meeting (the “Annual Meeting”) of stockholders (the “Stockholders”) at the Company’s corporate office at 1901 Gateway Drive, Irving, Texas 75038 (“Corporate Head Office”). At the Annual Meeting, the Stockholders approved the Company’s 2025 Equity Incentive Plan (the “2025 Plan”). For additional information regarding…