CommVault Systems (CVLT)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-10-29
$171.61+3.09%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put CVLT beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Systems Software: fringe margins under pressure (2q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Revenue grows to about $1.305 billion: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 46% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskCVLT’s subscription revenue and ARR growth must sustain the growth case as revenue growth edged higher. Revenue grew 13% year over year in Q2 FY2027, and reported non-GAAP earnings beat consensus. It trades at 47× P/E versus a 45× peer median. The desk says the price reflects less growth than its forecast. The next-quarter miss probability is 29%. The primary revenue pillar needs review because its comparison is unverified. Peer multiples imply a price roughly in line with where it trades (about fair). The thesis is on watch, and this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. CVLT is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 19 analysts currently covering CVLT (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 12 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for CVLT in the last 4 months.
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Compare CVLT with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVLT Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Systems Software — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put CVLT next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Increase subscription revenue and ARR growth
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $171.61
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $171.61.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Raised FY2027 outlook and subscription ARR target confirm growth; higher FCF target also supports objective 3.
Advances: Increase subscription revenue and ARR growth
Quarterly earnings call is a material update on subscription growth and management execution.
Advances: Expand strategic partnerships and AI-enabled platform adoption
New partnership enhances AI platform adoption and growth potential.
Advances: Increase subscription revenue and ARR growth
Tripling cloud safety net supports subscription revenue growth.
Advances: Expand strategic partnerships and AI-enabled platform adoption
Expanding Azure coverage supports AI platform adoption objective.
Advances: Increase subscription revenue and ARR growth
SaaS growth aligns with subscription revenue objectives.
Advances: Expand strategic partnerships and AI-enabled platform adoption
Integration enhances AI platform adoption and strengthens partnerships.
Advances: Increase subscription revenue and ARR growth
Earnings beat indicates strong subscription revenue growth.