Reading BRC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track BRC free→Reading BRC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track BRC free→NYSEIndustrialsSecurity & Protection ServicesSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is strong, but earnings quality is fragile, reported profits aren't backed by cash. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, and the company has a capital-friendly stance. Risk is moderate, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, while compared with sector peers, BRC is above typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 17% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening, as it is priced roughly in line with peers, but recent financials or earnings quality are weakening. This analysis is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $84.94. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $85 BRC trades at 17× p/e, below its 24× p/e peer median. Our $101 fair value sits above the price; high confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 17% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 9%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated strong grew net income 69% of the time over the next year (vs 58% for the rest of the cohort, n=3696).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.06x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Industrials names rated fragile grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=3333).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $1.37 → $1.47 (+6.9% / 30d). 2 raised, 0 cut, 2 covering analysts.
1 upgrade, 0 downgrades / 30d, 0 maintained. 67% of analysts rate Buy.
1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
Market and fundamentals agree. Analysts are positioned bullishly on a fundamentally strong name.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$127.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$229.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $2,612.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Closing the acquisition is crucial for Brady's growth strategy. It will expand their product offerings and market reach.
Confirms:The acquisition will close on time. All regulatory approvals will be received by the end of 2026.
Disproves:The acquisition is delayed. It may fail to get the needed regulatory approvals.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
Advances: Maintain revenue growth
Earnings beat supports revenue growth objective.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
DEPARTURE OF DIRECTORS OR CERTAIN OFFICERS; ELECTION OF DIRECTORS; APPOINTMENT OF CERTAIN OFFICERS; COMPENSATORY ARRANGEMENTS OF CERTAIN OFFICERS On June 8, 2026, Brady Corporation (the “Company”) announced that Russell R. Shaller will be retiring as the Company’s President and Chief Executive Officer, effective June 8, 2026 (the “Effective Date”). In connection with his retirement, Mr. Shaller also resigned from his position on the Board of Directors of the Company as of the Effective Date.…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Industrials (broad).
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
BRC Brady Corporation | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 73 of 100 | fair | moderate |
MTZ MasTec | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 48 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
CW Curtiss-Wright | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 67 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
CRS Carpenter Technology | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 57 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
NVT nVent Electric plc | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 93 of 100 | full | moderate |
5 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=1113).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Brady aims to acquire Honeywell's PSS business to expand its portfolio with mobility and scanning solutions.
Brady focuses on maintaining revenue growth through organic sales and strategic acquisitions.
Brady aims to enhance operating income through cost management and efficiency improvements.
Why it matters: Changes to EPS guidance will show how the PSS acquisition impacts business results.
Confirms one read:Management raises adjusted EPS guidance beyond the current range of $5.20 to $5.30.
Confirms the other:Management lowers adjusted EPS guidance. It will be below the current range.
Advances: Maintain revenue growth
Earnings beat enhances outlook for revenue growth.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION On May 18, 2026, Brady Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its fiscal 2026 third quarter financial results. A copy of the press release is being furnished to the Securities and Exchange Commission as Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto and is incorporated herein by reference.
DEPARTURE OF DIRECTORS OR CERTAIN OFFICERS; ELECTION OF DIRECTORS; APPOINTMENT OF CERTAIN OFFICERS; COMPENSATORY ARRANGEMENTS OF CERTAIN OFFICERS (b) On May 6, 2026, Deidre E. Cusack and Anne De Greef-Safft notified Brady Corporation (the “Company”) of their respective resignations from the Company’s Board of Directors effective May 8, 2026. Ms. Cusack was a member of the Technology Committee of the Board of Directors, and Ms. De Greef-Safft was a member of the Audit Committee of the Board of…
ENTRY INTO A MATERIAL DEFINITIVE AGREEMENT On April 20, 2026, Brady Corporation (the “Company”) and its wholly owned subsidiary, Brady Worldwide, Inc. (the “Purchaser”), entered into an Equity Purchase Agreement (the “Purchase Agreement”) with Honeywell International Inc. (the “Seller”). Pursuant to the Purchase Agreement, on the terms and subject to the conditions therein, the Purchaser will acquire the Seller’s Productivity Solutions and Services business (“PSS business”), a global manufact…
OTHER EVENTS The Company issued a press release on April 20, 2026 announcing the Purchase Agreement and the Transaction, which is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS In this report, statements that are not reported financial results or other historic information are “forward-looking statements.” These forward-looking statements relate to, among other things, statements about the proposed transaction by the Company to acquire the PSS business, the benefits and synergies…