NYSEFinancialsInsurance BrokersSnapshot 2026-07-31
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Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Financials is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Expand adjusted operating margin by 70-80 basis points: operating margin 21.5% vs target 70-80bps by FY26; metric not reported for specific target period.
View ThesisRevenue growth is slowing — up about 5% over the past year and decelerating.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 33% growth a year, above the roughly 6% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskAON's growth depends on achieving mid-single-digit organic revenue growth to justify its price. Revenue grew 2% year over year, but the latest earnings report showed a revenue miss. It trades at 20.5× P/E compared to a peer median of 12.2×. The market is pricing in more growth than AON is likely to achieve. A risk is that AON might cut guidance, with a 25% chance of a miss. Peer multiples imply a price about 35% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. AON is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 23 analysts currently covering AON (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 7 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for AON in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Insurance Brokers — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Threatens: Achieve mid-single-digit or greater organic revenue growth
Revenue miss impacts organic growth objective.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $360.55
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $360.55.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Leadership changes could impact strategic execution and growth.
Advances: Achieve mid-single-digit organic revenue growth
Expansion supports organic revenue growth objective.
New API integration enhances service offerings and partnerships.
Threatens: Expand adjusted operating margin by 70-80 basis points
Inflation and supply chain issues may pressure margins.
Threatens: Expand adjusted operating margin by 70-80 basis points
Sector margin pressure could impact Aon's operating margins.
Advances: Achieve mid-single-digit organic revenue growth
Leadership shifts align with growth focus in broking.
Leadership changes align with strategic focus on core business.
