Alkami Technology, Inc. (ALKT)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-10-29
$12.69-18.29%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put ALKT beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Application Software is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 24% over the past year.
View GrowthManagement screens weak on the balance sheet, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 46% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskALKT’s case rests on revenue growth, which accelerated from 15.9% to 19.4% year over year. The company projects $530.5M-$532M in 2026 revenue, though Q3 missed expectations. ALKT trades at 71× P/E versus a 30× peer median. The price reflects modest growth expectations versus our view. Q3 reported GAAP EPS of -0.06 versus consensus of 0.04. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 32%. Peer multiples imply a price about 28% above where it trades; our read remains intact, and this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. ALKT is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 8 analysts currently covering ALKT (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 3 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for ALKT in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALKT Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 5 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Application Software — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put ALKT next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Revenue growth to $530.9M in 2026
2026 revenue and EBITDA projections exceed tracked targets, confirming both key financial objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $12.69
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $12.69.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Downgrade indicates potential valuation concerns affecting investment thesis.
Stock tumble indicates potential loss of investor confidence.
Plunge suggests ongoing concerns about company performance.
Advances: Revenue growth to $530.9M in 2026
Price target increase suggests confidence in revenue growth.
Advances: Share repurchase program up to $100 million
Buyback program supports capital allocation strategy.
Advances: Expand client base and digital banking users
New partnership expands client base and user growth.
Growth headwinds could impact revenue targets.