Reading ZETA? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ZETA free→Reading ZETA? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ZETA free→NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been steady, but risk is elevated. The sector backdrop is a tailwind, and compared with sector peers, ZETA is typical. Peer multiples imply a price roughly in line with where it trades (about fair); the read is fair, but weakening. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $19.76. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $20 ZETA trades at 28× p/e, in line with its 28× p/e peer median. Our $20 fair value reflects that, high confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 2% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 29%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 68% for the rest of the cohort, n=3704).
Over the trailing year it converted -9.23x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to Fed net liquidity, the US dollar, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
6 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by M&A activity. Historically, Information Technology names rated stable grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=797).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.20 → $0.20 (-1.9% / 30d). 4 raised, 2 cut, 13 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 86% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$251.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$633.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $4,037.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth drops, it could signal broader issues that affect Zeta's performance. This could impact investor confidence.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth reported below its median for the latest quarter.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth remains above its median for the latest quarter.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for ZETA yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 30, 2026, Zeta Global Holdings Corp. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of this press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information contained in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 19…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Systems Software.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 42 of 100 | fair | elevated |
MSFT Microsoft | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 84 of 100 | full | moderate |
PANW Palo Alto Networks | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 42 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
CRWD CrowdStrike | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 31 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
FTNT Fortinet | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 91 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Zeta has increased its revenue guidance for the fiscal year 2026.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue grew from $264.4M in 2025-Q1 to $396.3M in 2026-Q1. The trajectory shows consistent growth, aligning with the increased guidance for fiscal year 2026.
“Increasing revenue guidance to a range of $1,779 million to $1,792 million.”
“Increasing revenue guidance to a range of $1,749 million to $1,762 million.”
“Increasing revenue guidance to a range of $1,273 million to $1,276 million.”
Zeta has raised its free cash flow guidance for the fiscal year 2026.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Cash from operating activities increased from $34.8M in 2025-Q1 to $49.7M in 2026-Q1. The increase in free cash flow guidance aligns with the upward trend in operating cash flow.
Zeta aims to achieve positive GAAP Net Income for the full year 2026.
Newly stated in 2025-Q4. Net income was -$13.2M in 2026-Q1, indicating a need for improvement to meet the positive GAAP Net Income goal for 2026. The trajectory shows a challenge in achieving this target.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 24, 2026, Zeta Global Holdings Corp. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fiscal year and quarter ended December 31, 2025. A copy of this press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information contained in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securit…
Completion of Acquisition or Disposition of Assets. As previously disclosed, on September 27, 2025, Zeta Global Holdings Corp. (“Zeta”) entered into a Purchase Agreement (the “Purchase Agreement”) with Marigold Group, Inc. (“MGI”), Campaign Monitor Europe UK Ltd. (“CMEUK”), and Selligent Holdings Limited (“Selligent Holdings” together with MGI and CMEUK, the “Sellers”). The transactions contemplated by the Purchase Agreement were completed on November 24, 2025 (the “Closing”), at which time Z…
Regulation FD Disclosure. On November 24, 2025, Zeta issued a press release announcing that it closed its previously announced acquisition of the Marigold Enterprise Business and is updating its guidance for the quarters ending December 31, 2025 and March 31, 2026 and for fiscal year 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Item 7.01, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purpo…
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities. The information set forth in
“Increasing free cash flow guidance to a range of $234.5 million to $235.5 million.”
“Increasing free cash flow guidance to a range of $230.7 million to $231.7 million.”
“Increasing Free Cash Flow guidance to a range of $140.0 million to $144.0 million.”
“Guiding to positive GAAP Net Income for the full year 2026.”