Reading ZEO? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ZEO free→Reading ZEO? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ZEO free→NASDAQInformation TechnologySolarSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, but the capital stance is capital unfriendly, indicating less favorable shareholder actions. Risk is high, and compared with sector peers, ZEO is below typical. The sector backdrop is a tailwind, which may support the company in a heating market. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $0.74. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Not enough valuation methods to set a 12-month read yet.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated weak grew net income 63% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=2777).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.65x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
10 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by legal/regulatory items. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 64% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=1040).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$437.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$924.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $8,287.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth drops, it could hurt Zeo's performance. This would reflect broader challenges in the Information Technology sector.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth drops below its historical median.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth stays above its historical median.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for ZEO yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Note Purchase Agreement On June 9, 2026, Zeo Energy Corp., a Delaware corporation (the “ Company ”), and White Lion Capital, LLC, a Nevada limited liability company (“ White Lion ”), entered into a Note Purchase Agreement (the “ Note Purchase Agreement ”). Pursuant to the Note Purchase Agreement, the Company agreed to issue, and White Lion agreed to purchase, at one or more closings, on the terms and conditions contained in the Note Purchase Agreeme…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Trailing four: 2024-Q1, 2024-Q2, 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Information Technology (broad).
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
ZEO Zeo Energy Corp | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 17 of 100 | — | high |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 88 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
AAPL Apple Inc | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 74 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
MSFT Microsoft | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 84 of 100 | full | moderate |
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. | — | — | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Zeo Energy aims for over 20% year-over-year revenue growth in 2026.
Zeo Energy aims to achieve high single-digit AEBITDA margins in its residential solar business unit.
Zeo Energy is addressing compliance issues related to Nasdaq listing requirements.
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information set forth above under
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities. The information contained above under Item 1.01, to the extent applicable, is hereby incorporated by reference herein. Based in part upon the representations of White Lion in the Note Purchase Agreement, the issuance and sale of Convertible Notes was made in a private placement transaction exempt for registration in reliance on the exemption afforded by Section 4(a)(2) of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “ Securities Act ”). The offer and sa…
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. On April 23, 2026, Zeo Energy Corp, a Delaware corporation (the “Company”) received a letter from the Listing Qualifications Staff of The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC (“Nasdaq”) indicating that, based upon the closing bid price of the Company’s Class A common stock for the last 30 consecutive business days, the Company no longer meets Nasdaq Listing Rule 5550(a)(2), which requires listed companies…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On January 27, 2026 Zeo Energy Corp, a Delaware corporation (the “Company”) entered into a Common Stock Purchase Agreement (the “Purchase Agreement”) with White Lion Capital, LLC (“White Lion). Pursuant to the Purchase Agreement, the Company has the right, but not the obligation, to require White Lion to purchase, from time to time as determined by the Company, up to $30.0 million in aggregate gross purchase price of newly issued Class A Common Stoc…