ASML Holding N.V. (ASML)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-10-16
$1641.52-0.96%
Close 2026-10-16 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-10-16
Research Workspace
Put ASML beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Semiconductor Materials & Equipment is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisModerate volatility — typically moves about 2% a day.
View RiskNot enough reads yet
ASML's AI-driven chipmaking demand must keep supporting its growth to justify its valuation. Revenue growth history is unavailable, so its trend cannot be confirmed. ASML raised its full-year sales forecast to €44-45 billion. It also raised its gross margin estimate to about 56%. A clean current multiple and peer multiple are unavailable. The desk says its price roughly matches forecast growth. The next-quarter miss probability is 20%. Peer multiples imply a price about 23% above where it trades. Our read remains intact. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-16. ASML is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 43 analysts currently covering ASML (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 4 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for ASML in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare ASML with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-16. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Semiconductor Materials & Equipment — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put ASML next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Reported competing hybrid-bonding product could threaten Besi, but product and impact remain unconfirmed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-16. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $1641.52
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $1641.52.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Strong orders indicate sustained demand for ASML's products.
Positive sales guidance supports growth expectations.
Earnings call provides insights into operational performance.
Inability to meet AI demand could hinder growth prospects.
Positive sales forecast supports valuation and growth expectations.
Increased capacity plans indicate strong future demand.
Positive earnings guidance supports investment thesis.
