NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductor Equipment & MaterialsSnapshot 2026-07-09
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Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Semiconductor Materials & Equipment: fringe margins under pressure (3q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisModerate volatility — typically moves about 2% a day.
View RiskNot enough reads yet
ASML's growth in the AI sector is crucial to justify its current price. Revenue growth has been steady, with a recent earnings beat of 8%. It trades at a valuation that suggests it is about 9% below peer multiples. A specific risk is the 12% chance of missing next quarter's earnings. Peer multiples imply a price about 9% above where it trades; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-10. ASML is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 45 analysts currently covering ASML (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 3 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for ASML in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-07-11. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Semiconductor Materials & Equipment — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Collaboration with Bharat Forge enhances ASML's market position.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-10. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $1797.32
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $1797.32.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Mistral AI stake indicates strategic growth in AI sector.
Direct talks with Musk for TeraFab could lead to significant growth.
Price target hikes reflect positive outlook on EUV capacity.
Morgan Stanley's target boost indicates confidence in ASML's future.
Collaboration with Tata Electronics opens new market opportunities.
