Lam Research (LRCX)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-10-30
$239.11-6.01%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put LRCX beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Semiconductor Materials & Equipment is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 33% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 47% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskLRCX’s case rests on AI-driven chipmaking growth and strong recent financial performance. The price must reflect continued growth. Revenue grew 15.1% year over year in Q4 FY2026. The September 2026 quarter beat earnings expectations. LRCX trades at 35× P/E versus the 38× peer median. Our expectations read says the price reflects less growth than we forecast. The specific risk is a 14% model probability of missing next-quarter expectations. Peer multiples imply a price about 8% below where it trades. Our read remains intact; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. LRCX is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 36 analysts currently covering LRCX (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 12 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for LRCX in the last 4 months.
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Compare LRCX with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LRCX Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Semiconductor Materials & Equipment — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put LRCX next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Increase revenue to approximately $8.1 billion next quarter
Reported 2027 outlook signals stronger future demand, supporting growth, though the headline lacks specific guidance details.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $239.11
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $239.11.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Increase revenue to approximately $8.1 billion next quarter
Beating targets and upbeat guidance support near-term revenue objectives, despite the stock decline.
Advances: Increase revenue to approximately $8.1 billion next quarter
Revenue topping estimates and an earnings beat provide incremental evidence of business strength.
Advances: Increase revenue to approximately $8.1 billion next quarter
Guidance exceeds management's revenue target for next quarter.
Advances: Increase revenue to approximately $8.1 billion next quarter
Increased price target supports revenue growth expectations.
Advances: Support AI-driven semiconductor manufacturing growth
Supports AI-driven semiconductor manufacturing growth through job creation.
Advances: Support AI-driven semiconductor manufacturing growth
Investment in India supports AI-driven semiconductor growth.
Advances: Support AI-driven semiconductor manufacturing growth
Investment supports AI-driven semiconductor manufacturing growth.
