Reading KLIC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track KLIC free→Reading KLIC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track KLIC free→NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductor Equipment & MaterialsSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is strong, but earnings quality is fragile, reported profits aren't backed by cash. Management's recent track record has been steady, and risk is moderate. The sector backdrop is a tailwind, and compared with sector peers, KLIC is typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 21% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 5 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $117.27. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $115 KLIC trades at 73× p/e, in line with its 63× p/e peer median. Our $99 fair value reflects that, medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 16% near-term growth, ahead of our forecast of about 0%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only weak execution quality, a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 3 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated strong grew net income 73% of the time over the next year (vs 58% for the rest of the cohort, n=2777).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.29x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Information Technology names rated fragile grew net income 46% of the time over the next year (vs 65% for the rest of the cohort, n=2129).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates, the US dollar.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.76 → $1.01 (+33.3% / 30d). 1 raised, 0 cut, 3 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 33% of analysts rate Buy.
Market and fundamentals agree. Analysts are positioned bullishly on a fundamentally strong name.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$215.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$389.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $1,799.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Meeting or exceeding this revenue target shows strong demand and growth in key markets.
Confirms:Q3 2026 revenue reported at $310 million or higher.
Disproves:Q3 2026 revenue reported below $290 million.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for KLIC yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition,” shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Semiconductor Materials & Equipment.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
KLIC Kulicke and Soffa Industries, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 64 of 100 | full | moderate |
ASML ASML Holding N.V. | — | — | moderate |
LRCX Lam Research | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 70 of 100 | full | elevated |
AMAT Applied Materials | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 83 of 100 | full | moderate |
KLAC KLA Corporation | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 97 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
1 material management or governance event in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Information Technology names rated stable grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=797).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on increasing revenue growth through strategic initiatives.
Commitment to maintaining a consistent dividend payout to shareholders.
Enhance operating income through cost management and efficiency improvements.
Why it matters: A stable dividend shows commitment to shareholder returns. Management aims to maintain this payout.
Confirms:Dividend payout remains at $0.205 per share for the next quarter.
Disproves:Dividend payout is reduced below $0.205 per share.
Why it matters: Higher capital spending shows strong investment in growth and production.
Confirms:Capital spending reported at $22 million or more for FY 2026.
Disproves:Capital spending was less than $12 million for FY 2026.
Why it matters: This shows better cost management. The team wants to raise operating income.
Confirms:Operating income growth exceeds 20% year over year.
Disproves:Operating income growth is below 20% year over year.
Why it matters: A high gross margin shows good cost control and strong pricing.
Confirms:Gross margin reported above 49% for Q3 2026.
Disproves:Gross margin reported below 45% for Q3 2026.
Why it matters: A lower payout ratio might indicate cash flow issues or a shift in capital allocation.
Confirms:Dividend payout ratio is below 50%.
Disproves:Dividend payout ratio remains above 50%.
Why it matters: New product launches can drive future revenue growth. Updates can indicate how well the company is adapting to market needs.
Confirms one read:Management announces a successful launch of a new product line.
Confirms the other:Management puts off or stops planned product launches.
Why it matters: This could signal a broader slowdown in the tech sector. Kulicke and Soffa operates within this context.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth drops below its median.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth remains above its median.
Why it matters: This would show slower revenue growth. It would affect future expectations.
Confirms:Q2 revenue growth reported below 5% year over year.
Disproves:Q2 revenue growth reported above 5% year over year.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition,” shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Principal Officers. On October 8, 2025, Chan Pin Chong, who holds the position of Executive Vice President & General Manager, K&S Products & Solutions and is a named officer of Kulicke and Soffa Industries, Inc. (the “Company”), notified the Company that he intends to retire from his position effective December 1, 2025, to dedicate more time to his family. Effective…