Reading WOOF? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track WOOF free→Reading WOOF? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track WOOF free→NASDAQConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is neutral. Earnings quality is robust, showing strong cash backing. Management's recent track record is steady, but the capital stance is unfriendly. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 66% above where it trades; the read is cheap, value-trap risk. This is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $2.79. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $2.79 WOOF trades at 21× p/e — 1.3× the 15× p/e peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $7.87 fair value is low-confidence here. Analysts: $2.18–$4.14. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 65% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about -1%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
No fragility gates fired.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 48% of the time over the next year (vs 64% for the rest of the cohort, n=3804).
Over the trailing year it converted 53.12x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated robust grew net income 65% of the time over the next year (vs 49% for the rest of the cohort, n=2427).
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
5 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=646).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.08 → $0.07 (-11.6% / 30d). 1 raised, 2 cut, 7 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 2 maintained. 17% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 44.3% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$182.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$595.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $4,656.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Better cash flow from operations helps with growth and stability.
Confirms:Cash flow from operations increases by more than 15% compared to last quarter.
Disproves:Cash flow from operations decreases or stays the same compared to last quarter.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for WOOF yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On June 3, 2026, Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release disclosing its financial results for the quarter ended May 2, 2026. The full text of the press release is attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
$2.18 – $4.14 (median $3.75) · 4 analysts · as of 2026-06-05
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Other Specialty Retail.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
WOOF Petco Health & Wellness Co., Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 53 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
ULTA Ulta Beauty | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 97 of 100 | fair | moderate |
TSCO Tractor Supply | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 58 of 100 | fair | elevated |
CHWY Chewy | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 99 of 100 | fair | elevated |
BBWI Bath & Body Works, Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 99 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on enhancing operating income through cost management and revenue growth.
Drive revenue growth through strategic initiatives and market expansion.
Focus on improving cash flow from operations through better cost management.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth shows sales are getting better after recent drops.
Confirms:Q2 revenue growth reported as positive year over year.
Disproves:Q2 revenue growth remains negative year over year.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 11, 2026, Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release disclosing its financial results for the quarter and year ended January 31, 2026. The full text of the press release is attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On February 2, 2026, Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. (the “Company”), certain subsidiaries of the Company, each 2026 Term Loan Lender (the “Refinancing Lenders”) and Citibank, N.A., as Administrative Agent (the “Administrative Agent”), entered into the Second Amendment to Credit Agreement (the “Amendment”), amending the First Lien Credit Agreement, dated as of March 4, 2021, by and among the Company, the lenders from time to time party there…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On January 30, 2026, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. (the “Company”) appointed Glenn Murphy, the Company’s Executive Chairman, as Chairman of the Board, effective February 1, 2026 (the “Effective Date”), in a non-employee capacity. In connection with the transition, Mr. Murphy and the Company entered…
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. On February 2, 2026, the Company issued the Notes pursuant to an indenture, dated as of February 2, 2026 (the “Indenture”), among the Company, the guarantors party thereto, and U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association, as trustee and collateral agent. The Company intends to use the net proceeds from the sale of the Notes, together with borrowings under the Refinancing Term L…