Winmark (WINA)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-09-14
$299.47-2.92%
Close 2026-09-14 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-09-14
Research Workspace
Put WINA beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — EPS at least $2.71 for fiscal year 2025: Q1 FY26 EPS $2.50 vs consensus $2.70 (-7.4%); Q2 FY26 EPS $2.81 (no consensus).
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 4% over the past year.
View GrowthManagement screens strong on capital allocation, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 40% growth a year, above the roughly 7% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 41% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskWINA's growth relies on maintaining earnings momentum, especially after recent misses. The latest Q1 FY26 EPS was $2.50, below the consensus of $2.70, indicating potential weakness. WINA trades at 28× P/E, above the peer median of 11×, suggesting the market expects more growth than warranted. The current valuation appears expensive, with the market pricing in more growth than forecasted. A specific risk is the 45% probability of a miss in the next quarter, which could further pressure the stock. Peer multiples imply a price about 43% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-14. WINA is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 1 analyst currently covering WINA (as of Sep 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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Compare WINA with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WINA Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-14. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Other Specialty Retail — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put WINA next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-14. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.